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Bank of Japan keeps rates on hold at 0.50%

Wed, Apr 30 2008, 06:24 GMT
by Nicole Elliott

Mizuho Corporate Bank


Quote:

‘Lawyers, hookers, and plumbers are the only people who still charge by the hour’. Matthew Rhodes (2008)


The News:

Bank of Japan keeps rates on hold at 0.50%; semi-annual report; 06:30 News Conference w. governor.


The Numbers:

British Summer Time, with expectations and previous figures in brackets.

00:01 GB April GfK Consumer Confidence -24 versus –19 March, lowest since 1992.

00:30 JP March Jobless 3.8%, Job-to-Applicant 0.95, vs 3.9% and 0.97 Feb. Household Spend –1.6% Y/Y vs 0% Feb.

00:50 JP March Industrial Production –3.1% M/M, -0.4% Y/Y, versus +1.6% and +5.1% February.

06:00 JP March Housing Starts 1.088M, Construction Orders +6.4% Y/Y, vs 1.150M and +18.4% February.

06:00 JP April Small Business Confidence 43.1 versus 46.6 March.

08:55 DE April Unemployment (-50K to +15K, 7.7% to 7.8%, vs –55K and 7.8% Mar). 09:30 CH April KOF (vs 1.54 ).

10:00 EZ15 April CPI (+3.3% to +3.5% Y/Y versus +3.5% March).

10:00 EZ15 April Business Climate Indicator (0.40-0.78, Consumer –14 to –11, Economic 96.5-99.3, vs 0.80/-12/99.6).

10:00 EZ15 March Unemployment (7.0% to 7.1% versus 7.1% February). 12:55 ECB’s Trichet speaks, Aachen.

13:15 US April ADP Employment Change (-115K to +25K versus +8K March).

13:30 US Q1 GDP (-0.8% to +1.5% Y/Y, Employment Cost Index +0.7% to +1.2%, vs +0.6% and +0.8% Q4).

13:30 US Q1 Core PCE (+2.0% to +2.6% versus +2.5% Q4).

13:30 CA February GDP (0% to +0.3% versus +0.6% Jan). March Raw Materials (+0.8% to +4.0% M/M vs +0.5%).

14:45 US April Chicago Purchasing Managers (45 to 50 versus 48.2 March). 15:00 US Quarterly Refunding.

19:15 US FOMC interest rate decision (most expect –25 bp, some –50, 2 no change from 2.25%).


The Psychology:

ECB’s Trichet says Q1 Eurozone growth ‘quite robust’ and probably ‘resilient’ in H1 2008.


The Risk:

Bank of England dove Blanchflower fears a ‘rapid downward spiral in activity’ as house prices drop –1%.


Today’s most interesting chart: Nymex Gasoline

Retreating suddenly from a record high.


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Mizuho Corporate Bank  | 1-3-3, Marunouchi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-8210
http://www.mizuho-cb.co.uk | Nicole.Elliot@mhcb.co.uk

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