Quote:

‘But the past is just the same, - and War’s a bloody game… Have you forgotten yet?… Look down, and swear by the slain of the War that you’ll never forget’. Siegfried Sassoon (1886-1967)


The News:

China increases by 50 basis points to 13.50% the reserve requirements of banks.


The Numbers:

Greenwich Mean Time, with expectations and previous figures in brackets.

(23:50) JP October Domestic CGPI +0.3% M/M, +2.4% Y/Y, versus –0.1% and +1.7% September.

(23:50) JP September Trade Balance 1769B Yen, Current Account 2883B, versus 892B and 2081B August.

00:30 AU Reserve Bank of Australia Quarterly Monetary Policy Statement; trims growth and sees inflation higher.

04:30 JP October Bankruptcies +8.1% Y/Y versus +1.7% September.

05:00 JP October Consumer Confidence 42.9, Households 42.8, versus 44.1 and 44.1 September.

09:30 GB October PPI Input (+1.0% to +3.1% M/M, +6.7% to +8.9% Y/Y, versus +3.2% and +6.4% September).

09:30 GB October PPI Output (+0.1% to +0.4% M/M, +3.2% to +3.5% Y/Y, versus +0.1% and +2.7% September).

23:50 JP Q3 GDP (Mizuho Securities +0.4% Q/Q, +1.6% Y/Y, versus –0.3% and –1.2% Q2).

00:01 GB October RICS House Price Balance (-25% to –16% versus –14.6% September).


The Psychology:

Veterans’ Day holiday in Canada and the US today as the Bank of Japan starts a two-day rate-setting meeting (expected unchanged at 0.50%).


The Risk:

Eurozone Finance Ministers’ meeting this afternoon, Brussels.


Today’s most interesting chart: GBP/JPY

Looking increasingly top as the ‘carry tr ade’ unwinds.