Quote:

‘Society doesn’t believe gaming is as damaging as it is. Everyone’s in denial. But saying, ‘Go play on the computer’ is like saying, ‘Take this crack for a while’.’ Keith Bakker (1959-)


The News:

Incomes Data Services says UK wages +3.2% Y/Y 3-months to September, smallest in a year.

The Numbers: Greenwich Mean Time, with expectations and previous figures in brackets.

06:45 CH October CPI +0.9% M/M, +1.3% Y/Y, versus +0.1% and +0.7%September.

08:30 DE October Manufacturing PMI (52.7 to 55.0 versus 54.9 September).

09:00 EU October Manufacturing PMI (51.5 to 52.0 versus 51.5 September).

09:30 GB October Construction PMI (58 to 60 versus 60.3 September).

11:00 CA October Employment Change (+5K to +25K, Unemployment 5.8% to 6.0%, vs +51.5K and 5.9% Sep).

12:30 US October Non-Farm Payrolls (Mizuho Securities +70K (10K to 110K), Unemployment 4.6% to 4.8%, versus +110K and 4.7% September).

12:30 US October Hourly Earnings (Mizuho Securities +0.3% M/M, Workweek 33.7 to 33.9, vs +0.4% and 33.8 Sep).

14:00 US September Factory Orders (Mizuho Securities –1.5% M/M (-1.5% to +1.9%) versus –3.3% August).

14:00 US Fed holds an open meeting on Basel II capital requirements. 15:00 ECB’s Weber speaks at the opening of the Institute for Currency and Financial Stability, Frankfurt.


The Psychology:

Clocks go back on hour in Canada and the US Sunday 4 th November.


The Risk:

Stock markets, especially financials, slip again.


Today’s most interesting chart: US 2-year TNote yield

‘Bearish engulfing’ candle at 4.00% yesterday.