Quote:

‘Watching Tallulah Bankhead on stage is like watching somebody skating over very thin ice – and the English want to be there when she falls through.’ Mrs. Patrick Campbell (1865-1940)

The News:

Ségolène Royal to lead French Socialists at next year’s presidential elections.

The Numbers:

Greenwich Mean Time, with expectations and previous figures in brackets.

05:30 JP October Tokyo Department Store Sales –1.3% Y/Y, Nationwide –1.9% Y/Y, vs +2.2% and +1.0% September.

10:00 E12 September Trade Balance (-€4.5B to €0B versus -€5.8B August).

12:30 E12 ECB’s Papademos and the Fed’s Fischer speak at a banking conference, Frankfurt.

13:30 US October Housing Starts (1580K to 1780K versus 1772K September).

13:30 US October Building Permits (1550K to 1710K versus 1638K September).

13:45 US Fed’s Pianalto speaks on Universities and economic growth.

The Psychology:

G20 officials hold a two-day meeting in Melbourne.

The Risk:

Markets stop moving at all.

Today’s most interesting chart:

NYMEX Crude Oil Lowest since June 2005.