Market Thoughts
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18/7/2008 − the current market sentiment
Fri, Jul 18 2008, 13:45 GMT
by Walid Salah El Din
The greenback could have support from the Oil prices easing lower than 140$ per barrel since last Wednesday which could continue to be traded lower than 130$ a barrel right now supporting the equity market and putting pressure on the Japanese yen across the broad reaching 107 versus the greenback on a risk apatite getting back wave could be underpinned by the market believe in the US joint plan of the US treasury and the Fed for bailing out Freddie Mac and Fannie Mea which has given a boost to the financial market amid better than expected release of JP Morgan quarterly earning report even after Merrill Lynch the second quarter loss of 4.89 Billion and citigroup loss of 2.5 billion, the believe that the credit crisis can ease in the future could contain the market sentiment.
Earlier this week, The US CPI which has come at 5% and the market was expecting 4.5% and the core figure which excludes the food and energy has come at 2.4%has come higher than the market expectations of 2.3% showing strong inflation upside risks in US in this same time of struggling growth Which could add to the greenback as it has shown an increased inflation pressure on the Fed to consider rate hiking in the face of this building inflation in US.
The oil prices and their volatile actions have contained the markets sentiments recently as their high effects on both of inflation and growth at these serious levels of inflation and sluggish. growth.
Best wishes
FX Consultant
Walid Salah El Din
E-Mail: mail@fx-recommends.com
Published on Fri, Jul 18 2008, 13:47 GMT
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