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Market Session Recaps

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Asia Session

Mon, Dec 1 2008, 07:15 GMT
by Forex.com Research Desk

FOREX.com


This new week in Asia can be summed up by one theme, rate cuts. The coming week will see central bank meetings with the Bank of England, European Central Bank, Reserve Bank of Australia, and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, and the general consensus is that we can see cuts across the board. With the expectation of those cuts, as well as a soft Nikkei, general risk aversion and thin trading, we saw the Yen make some gains versus the US Dollar. USD/JPY opened near its highs of 95.53, but did not reside long at that locale as we quickly saw the pair slip to 95.15 lows before getting some stability at the 95.30 area. EUR/JPY followed the lead with Yen buying as that pair started near 121.45 and dropped to 120.11 before settling at around 120.80.

Initially the EUR/USD opened higher, near 1.2710, but lost steam as investors digested the fact that the Euro Zone will be the first up for a rate cut. Inevitably, the pair hit 1.2620 and bounced back to current levels near 1.2675. If the ECB cuts rates as expected, it would constitute the third ECB cut in less than two months. The market is expecting a 50 bps rate cut from, 3.25% to 2.75%, although the growing thought is that the bank could cut up to 75 bps. Of interest this session was the murmurs out of the UK that they may try to eventually adopt the Euro and drop the Pound.

This week is extraordinary as far as potential market moving data in the form of the central bank meetings as well as the US NFP to end the week.

Upcoming Economic Data Releases (London Session):

12/17:00GERetail Sales (MoM)OCT -2.30%0.50%
12/17:00GERetail Sales (YoY)OCT 1.20%-0.30%
12/18:30SZSVME-Purchasing Managers IndexNOV4745.6
12/18:50FRPMI ManufacturingNOV F37.937.9
12/18:55GE PMI ManufacturingNOV F36.736.7
12/19:00EC PMI ManufacturingNOV F36.236.2
12/19:30UK M4 Money Supply (MoM)OCT F2.30%- -
12/19:30UK M4 Money Supply (YoY)OCT F15.10%- -
12/19:30UK Net Consumer CreditOCT0.3B0.5B
12/19:30UK Net Lending Sec. on DwellingsOCT2.2B1.8B
12/19:30UK Mortgage ApprovalsOCT33K32K
12/19:30UK PMI ManufacturingNOV41.539.7


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