Mon, Aug 25 2008, 22:25 GMT
by Forex.com Research Desk
The NY session saw the greenback on a rollercoaster ride as the buck fought a slumping US stock market and ended the session mixed against the majors. In broad terms, stocks plunged -2% in the session as financials plunged more than -3% on worries that the potential buyout of a major investment house announced last week may not materialize.
Meanwhile, US economic data showed more signs of a bottom in housing. Existing home sales jumped 3.1% in July as prices fell to an annual rate -7.1% from -6.1% the prior month. This latest report is indicative of a market finding equilibrium in terms of discovering the price level needed to spur demand and suggests the worst for the US housing market is likely behind us.
EUR/USD opened near 1.4770 and tried above 1.4800 on multiple occasions throughout the session. Failure to break decisively above that mark, however, saw the pair retreat towards a close around the 1.4750 area. The market still feels like it wants to sell EUR/USD rallies into that 1.4800 area.
USD/CAD rose as oil prices pulled back some more towards $115.30/bbl. The pair rallied from an open near 1.0450 to a close around the 1.0515 level. We would look for overnight resistance near the 100hr SMA which comes in at 1.0520 and further at the 200hr near the 1.0570 mark.
Look for some price action in Kiwi overnight with the release of New Zealand trade data. NZD/USD has been stuck in a tight 0.7030/90 range over the past few sessions and we would expect a much worse than expected trade balance result -- consensus is -538M -- to see Kiwi losses towards 0.6965 trendline support initially.
Published on Mon, Aug 25 2008, 22:26 GMT
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