Wed, Aug 20 2008, 22:40 GMT
by Forex.com Research Desk
The buck lost ground against the majors in NY trading as traders dealt a big blow to shares of the two major mortgage GSEs and oil prices remained resilient despite a huge inventory build in the latest week. Oil initially dropped towards a low near $112.60/bbl on the news that inventories jumped 9.4 million barrels last week. The commodity eventually reflected on the weaker than expected gasoline inventories -- which plunged by -6.2 million -- and rose towards $115.65/bbl as floor trading came to a close.
EUR/USD was bid towards a close near the 1.4745 mark after sinking as low as 1.4675 towards mid session. GBP/USD also recovered from an open near 1.8565 and was sitting near 1.8615 at the close. USD/CAD shot up towards 1.0640 as oil prices came under pressure, but the recovery saw the pair back down towards a 1.0610 close.
Canadian retail sales which were out earlier in the session showed a strong headline increase, but later details revealed that this was due to a jump in gasoline prices and without this sales would have been negative. This very weak economic data point suggests USD/CAD will continue to find it challenging to break below the 1.0600 level.
Look for some price action in EUR/USD in tonight's London session as we get PMI reports for France, Germany and the Euro-zone. Forecasts are for only minimal deterioration in these indices and the risk is for slight improvement. There is likely to be a rush to cover some EUR shorts on better than expected data and we would expect EUR/USD to test above 1.4800 with relative ease on better data. Such a rebound in EUR/USD might provide an opportunity to get short EUR/USD from higher levels.
Published on Wed, Aug 20 2008, 22:41 GMT
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