Daily Market Outlook
Wed, Sep 16 2009, 00:26 GMT
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Market Review - 15/09/2009 20:31
All times in GMT
Euro rises to fresh 2009 high as strong U.S. retail data boosts recovery hopesThe
single currency rose to another fresh 2009 high on Tuesday as strong
U.S. retail data boosted risk appetite and encouraged investors to buy
risky assets. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said a U.S. 'shadow
banking system' that let banks package loans into securities is likely
to be smaller and simpler when the current crisis eases.
U.S.
retail sales in August came out at an increase of 2.7% monthly and 1.1%
yearly, beating the forecasts of 2.0% and 0.4% respectively. The
British pound tumbled as BOE governor Mervyn King's comments on bank
reserve deposit rate were interpreted as dovish.
Euro
weakened in European morning after the ZEW index in both Germany and
Eurozone came out worse than expected (57.7 versus forecast of 60.0 in
Germany and 59.6 versus forecast of 60.0 in Eurozone), price briefly
dipped to as low as 1.4561 after the release of U.S. retail data as
traders considered the robust data to be dollar-positive. However, the
single currency staged strong rebound from there in tandem with the Dow
and crude oil on renewed buying in risky assets and rose to another
fresh 2009 high at 1.4686 before easing.
Cable edged higher
in Asia amid thin trading volume but price fell sharply after Mervyn
King said that he does not want ‘reserves to be unnecessarily high’ and
is ‘looking at lowering the rate it pays banks to deposit money with
the central bank. As a reduction would be considered as a form of
monetary easing, sterling fell from 1.6661 to as low as 1.6403 before
recovering in New York afternoon.
Japan Finance Minister
Kaoru Yosano said that rising yen would have a big impact on exporters’
earnings and sudden currency moves are undesirable. Price rebounded
strongly to 91.65 on strong U.S. data but retreated sharply from there
as rising equities diminished the safe-haven appeal of the greenback.
Economic data to be released on Wednesday include:
Westpac
economic index in Australia; retail sales and ZEW index in Switzerland;
ILO unemployment rate and claimant count in U.K.; HICP in Eurozone;
CPI, current account, real earnings foreign, treasury buys, industrial
production and capacity utilisation in U.S.;
Published on
Wed, Sep 16 2009, 00:28 GMT
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