Daily Market Outlook
Mon, May 11 2009, 00:39 GMT
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Market Review - 08/05/2009 21:45 GMT
Dollar falls as save-haven demand drops on better-than-expected U.S. payrolls data
The
greenback declined broadly on Friday after better-than-expected U.S.
non-farm payrolls data bolstered hopes for an economic recovery and
dented safe-haven demand for dollar. The ICE future dollar index (which
measures the dollar's strength against a basket of six other major
currencies) fell 1.75 percent to 82.417 in late New York trading.
The
single currency rose to a six-week high against the dollar at 1.3652 on
the back of strong U.S. economic data and rising stocks in Wall Street
also boosted demand for riskier assets. Earlier in the day, a report
showed German industrial production unexpectedly held steady in March,
ending a six-month slump and adding signs that a recession in Europe's
largest economy has reached a trough. Output in March was unchanged
from February, when it slumped 3.4 percent.
U.K. producer
prices jumped the most in 10 months in April. The price of goods at
factory gates rose 0.6 percent last month, compared with a 0.1 percent
gain in March. The British pound surged against the dollar to as high
as 1.5250 in late New York session but weakened versus the euro and
fell to a session low of 0.8974 as this week's Bank of England policy
decision (unexpectedly expanded its asset purchase program by 50
billion pounds to 125 billion pounds) continued to weigh on sterling.
Commodity
currencies such as New Zealand, Australian and Canadian dollars also
strengthened against the greenback to multi-months highs of 0.6056,
0.7710 and 1.1490 respectively before stabilising.
On the
data front, U.S. employers cut fewer jobs in April as signs emerged
that the worst of the U.S. recession had passed and hiring for the next
census boosted government staffing by the most since 2001. Non-farm
payrolls fell by 539,000 in last month, after a 699,000 loss in March,
but the jobless rate still jumped to 8.9 percent, the highest since
September 1983.
Data to be released in the coming week
include Australia NAB business confidence, Japan machine tools orders,
and Canada new housing price index on Monday; German CPI, U.K. RICS
house prices, trade balance, industrial production and manufacturing
production, U.S. trade balance and Fed budget on Tuesday; Japan
Economic watch DI and machine tool orders, U.K. claimant count and ILO
unemployment, eurozone industrial production, and U.S. retail sales and
business inventories on Wednesday; Switzerland's combined PPI, U.S.
weekly jobless claims and PPI on Thursday; Japan Domestic CGPI and
machine orders, German GDP, eurozone GDP and HICP, and U.S. CPI, Empire
state manufacturing, real earnings, capacity utilisation and University
of Michigan survey on Friday.
Published on
Mon, May 11 2009, 17:52 GMT
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