Daily Market Outlook
Wed, Apr 29 2009, 00:27 GMT
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Market Review - 28/04/2009 21:06 GMT
Euro rallies against the dollar after comments from ECB's Smaghi
The euro rallied against the dollar on Tuesday, helped by the improving
U.S. data and comments by European Central Bank Executive Board member
Lorenzo Bini Smaghi, who suggested a foray into quantitative easing by
the bank was not yet a done deal. Investors were encouraged to buy
riskier assets and the euro surged to session highs of 1.3167, 126.88
and 0.8995 against the dollar, yen and sterling respectively.
Meanwhile,
the British pound rebounded after falling to as low as 1.4518 against
the dollar in European morning as Confederation of British Industry
said U.K. index of retail sales rose this month to the highest level
since January 2008 as stores overcame the recession and rising
unemployment. The U.K. CBI distribution trade showed a net 3 percent
reporting higher sales in April, compared with a net 44 percent saying
sales fell last month. The sterling traded as high as 1.4692 against
the dollar in New York morning before retreating on profit-taking and
cross-selling in sterling (eur/gbp rose from 0.8882 to 0.8995).
Economic
reports from the U.S. showed consumer confidence climbed in April to
39.2, the highest level since November, from 26.9 in the previous
month, while a separate report signaled the housing market in U.S. may
be stabilising as the decline in home prices in 20 major U.S. cities
slowed in February for the first time since 2007. The
better-than-expected U.S. sentiment reduced safe-haven demand and
capped the dollar’s early gains due to fears about swine flu (the World
Health Organisation lifted its pandemic alert to phase 4 from phase 3).
In New York session, it fell from 96.78 to 96.34 against the yen, from
1.1599 to as low as 1.1420 versus the Swiss franc, and from 1.2269 to
1.2164 against the Canadian dollar.
On Wednesday, markets in
Japan will be closed due to ‘Showa Emperor’s Day’. Economic data
releases from other nations include eurozone business climate and
economic sentiment, Switzerland’s KOF indicator, U.S. gross domestic
price, personal consumption, PCE and Fed rate decision (18:15GMT), and
New Zealand RBNZ rate decision (21:00GMT). The FOMC is expected to keep
rates unchanged at 0.25 percent, however, the New Zealand central bank
will probably cut the benchmark interest rate for a seventh consecutive
time by 50 basis points to record-low pf 2.5 percent as a deepening
global recession slows exports and business investment.
Published on
Wed, Apr 29 2009, 17:01 GMT
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