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Daily Market Outlook
Thu, Aug 28 2008, 01:26 GMT
by AceTrader Team
AceTrader
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Market Review - 27/08/2008 21:07 GMT
Euro rises versus dollar on hawkish comments by ECB's Weber
The euro rose on Wednesday after trading above its six-month low at
1.4570 (made on Tuesday) as comments by a European Central bank
official rekindled speculation about an interest rate increase in the
eurozone to quell persistent inflation pressure. Investors also
remained wary of nagging troubles in the U.S. financial system as
mortgage finance companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac moved back into
the spotlight, leaving the dollar vulnerable in the near term.
Comments
on Wednesday by ECB Executive Board member Axel Weber fuelled the
dollar's free-fall when he said that any talk about lower interest
rates in the eurozone was premature. He also gave the impression that
if the eurozone economy improves toward the end of the year, there
might even be scope for tightening. His rather hawkish comments lifted
the euro and price rose to a session high of 1.4777. The single
currency was last trading at 1.4726, up 0.5 percent on the day.
The
dollar fell against a basket of six major currencies, retreating from
this year's high at 77.619 hit on Tuesday. The dollar index ended down
almost 0.4 percent to 76.942, however, the U.S. currency was little
changed versus the Japanese yen on Wednesday as the pair dropped to a
session low of 108.70 but gains in the U.S. stock markets (due to data
which showed an unexpected rise in new orders for long-lasting U.S.
manufactured goods) buoyed some carry trade demand and price rebounded
to as high as 109.90. It was last trading at 109.50 by New York
closing.
Sterling fell on bets that a deepening slump in the
nation's housing market may force the Bank of England to cut interest
rates. The pound declined and reached a new two-year low of 1.8285
versus the dollar and 0.8031 against the euro, weakest since June 9. By
the end of U.S. session, sterling was trading at 1.8358 and 0.8021
respectively.
Overall, investors are still expected to
support the dollar broadly due to rate differentials as the Fed seems
likely to keep rates on hold in the coming months whilst central banks
in the eurozone, Britain and Australia are expected to lower rates at
some stage in order to shield their economies from the threat of
recession.
On Thursday, economic data releases include U.K.
nationwide house prices and CBI industrial trends survey, German
unemployment rate and unemployment change, eurozone business climate
and economic sentiment, U.S. PCE data, gross domestic price, weekly
jobless claims, personal consumption, and Canada current account.
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Published on
Thu, Aug 28 2008, 03:56 GMT
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