EUR/USDUSD/JPYGBP/USDUSD/CHF
1.433597.21.671.09
Resistance1.42796.71.66651.0785
1.41895.91.66251.0725
1.40694.91.64651.059
Support1.401594.451.641.0485
1.39693.851.63151.037

The British Pound extended gains on Tuesday, hitting a high since early December against the euro, which came under broad pressure ahead of the European Central Bank's first one-year refinancing operation. A rise against the euro helped the sterling against a basket of currencies as investors continued to feel that much of the bad news on the UK economy is already priced in to its currency. Investors/traders are looking at countries whose response to the recession both fiscal and monetary, were strong and prompt enough to lead them out of the recession first, according to investors the UK and the U.S. meet that criteria. The GBP/USD is currently trading at $1.6520 as of 8:37am, London Time.

Federal Reserve officials will seek to reassure investors today they can keep short- term interest rates at a record low without causing inflation. “They would like to see longer rates lower,” said Stephen Stanley, chief economist at RBS Securities Inc. in Stamford, Connecticut, and a former Fed economist. “They need to finesse it so that people are not worried about inflation.” Fed officials could flag in their statement that the gap between the economy’s actual and potential performance has widened, making it unlikely consumer prices will start climbing. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke highlighted in congressional testimony this month the “difficult decision” of timing the withdrawal of record liquidity. “You don’t want to remove accommodation so soon as to prevent the recovery from taking hold,” Bernanke said on June 3. “On the other hand, you don’t want to wait so long as to lead to inflation in the medium term.” The EUR/USD is currently trading at $1.4110 as of 8:56am, London Time.

Moody’s Investors Service said the greenback’s unchallenged status as the world’s reserve currency is supporting the U.S.’s Aaa credit rating even as the country’s budget deficit is set to quadruple this year. “In the absence of a credible alternative it’s hard to see abrupt changes and that’s not even in the interest of the creditors,” Pierre Cailleteau, managing director of sovereign risk at Moody’s, said in an interview in Tokyo yesterday. The credit rating “remains solid,” he said earlier at a briefing. “The question you have to ask is: What does it mean to be a safe haven in the end?” Cailleteau said. “The test is that when you have a big problem, either in the economy or if you have the threat of a war, where do you think people are going to put their money?”

Pie


Today's Economic Events

Time Event Currency/Country Period Previous Forecast Significance Actual
22:45Current Account Balance - BoPNew Zealand-4.032
19:30Unemployment RateMexico5.255.252
18:15Interest Rate DecisionUnited States0.252
14:35EIA Crude Oil Inventory (Barrels)United States357.722
14:35EIA Crude Oil Price$/United States70.833
14:00New Home Sales - UnitsUnited States0.3520.362
14:00CPI (Bi-Weekly)MexicoBi-Weekly-0.340.164
14:00Core CPI (Bi-Weekly)MexicoBi-Weekly0.130.164
12:30Durable Goods Orders Ex. Transporation (M-o-M)United StatesMonthly0.8-0.53
12:30Durable Goods Orders (M-o-M)United StatesMonthly1.9-0.92
11:30Interest Rate DecisionPoland3.75%1
11:00MBA Mortgage ApplicationsUnited States-15.82
9:30CPI (Y-o-Y)South Africa8.40%1
9:30CPI (M-o-M)South Africa0.50%1
9:30CPI (M-o-M)South AfricaMonthly0.50.32
9:30CPI (Y-o-Y)South AfricaYearly8.47.93
8:30Consumer Confidence IndexSlovenia102
8:00Retail Sales (M-o-M)ItalyMonthly0.10.12
8:00Unemployment RateNorway3.23.32
8:00Retail Sales (Y-o-Y)ItalyYearly-5.23-0.60%
8:00Current Account Balance - BoP€/Eurozone-72-5.9
8:00Capital Account Balance - BoP€/Eurozone1.422
7:30Consumer Confidence IndexItaly104.9104.72105.4
6:45Current Account Balance - BoP€/Greece-2.712-2.99
6:45Capital Account Balance - BoP€/Greece248.82334.9
6:45Financial Account Balance - BoP€/Greece2.9142.8
4:00Unemployment RateLuxembourg-0.80%1
2:00Westpac Consumer ConfidenceNew Zealand962