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Daily Analysis
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The Bears Roar Again Pushing the Yen higher
Wed, Oct 15 2008, 10:52 GMT
by Benny Menashe
The Yen gained broadly on Wednesday morning as investors showed concern that the credit crunch is reaching well beyond the financial sector, and might lead the global economy to a sharp slowdown. The carry traders were quick to close their sell position against the yen adding to its positive momentum. The Japanese investors repatriation is consider as another reason for the yen recent strength. The Japanese currency traded around the levels of 101.10 vs. the dollar and 138.50 against the Euro at 09:25 (GMT).
The euro continues to struggle as confidence in the EZ economy tumbles. The economic slowdown in the EZ is expected to be easier than that in the US. Nevertheless, the lack of flexibility compared to the US market will probably prolong the recovery in comparison with the US. The Euro deep to a three years low against the yen last week while some analyst expect the pair to decline more than 10% further. The euro traded around the levels of 1.3625 against the dollar and 138.00 vs. the yen at 10:05 (GMT).
The economic data for today will start with the CPI results for the month of September that is expected to stay unchanged at a rate of 3.6%. The US will publish the retail sales data for the month of September. The expectations are for a decline of 0.7%, if the result will be consistent with the forecast we might see some further pressure on the dollar.
Today's Economic Events
| Time | Event | Currency | Period | Previous | Forecast | Significance |
| 17:15 | Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks | USD | 3 | |||
| 14:00 | Business Inventories m/m | USD | Aug | 1.10% | 0.50% | 2 |
| 12:30 | Core Retail Sales m/m | USD | Sep | -0.70% | -0.30% | 3 |
| 12:30 | PPI m/m | USD | Sep | -0.90% | -0.30% | 3 |
| 12:30 | Retail Sales m/m | USD | Sep | -0.30% | -0.60% | 3 |
| 12:30 | Core PPI m/m | USD | Sep | 0.20% | 0.20% | 2 |
| 9:00 | CPI y/y | EUR | Sep | 3.60% | 3 | |
| 9:00 | Core CPI y/y | EUR | Sep | 1.90% | 2 | |
| 8:30 | Claimant Count Change | GBP | Sep | 32.5K | 40.0K | 3 |
| 8:30 | Average Earnings Index +Bonus q/y | GBP | Aug | 3.50% | 3.50% | 2 |
| 8:30 | Unemployment Rate | GBP | Aug | 5.50% | 5.60% | 2 |
Published on Wed, Oct 15 2008, 10:54 GMT
Archive
- The Dollar advances as global stocks fall and investors look for safety
Published On Fri, Nov 20 2009, 08:20 GMT - The Dollar rises as U.S economic outlook looks bleak and investors go for safety
Published On Wed, Nov 18 2009, 07:55 GMT - Sterling rises as investors await the BOE inflation report
Published On Tue, Nov 17 2009, 07:04 GMT - The Dollar surges as U.S stocks plummet and investors look for safety
Published On Fri, Nov 13 2009, 10:11 GMT - Sterling drops as the BOE says it may increase Quantitative Easing in the future
Published On Thu, Nov 12 2009, 06:55 GMT
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