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The Yen Declines as stocks gain and the carry trade increases

Fri, Sep 12 2008, 10:43 GMT
by Benny Menashe

Finotec Group Inc.


EUR/USDUSD/JPYGBP/USDUSD/CHF
1.425108.451.77251.1605
Resistance1.4225108.151.77051.146
1.418107.61.76951.1415
1.3975106.051.7541.1325
Support1.3885105.551.7451.1215
1.386104.751.7421.113

The yen fell on speculation that Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. will find a buyer, giving investor’s confidence to buy higher-yielding assets funded in the Japanese currency. The yen snapped four days of gains against the euro as any government-brokered takeover of the bank would help support credit markets. U.S. officials, who are helping Lehman identify potential acquirers might announce a take-over before the 15th of September. ``There's likely to be a buyer somewhere for Lehman,'' said Lee Wai Tuck, a currency strategist at Forecast Pte Ltd. in Singapore. ``Risk appetite may improve a bit. The yen could be sold.'' The USD/JPY is currently trading at 107.50 as of 7:38am, GMT.

Bank of England Governor Mervyn King, 60, told lawmakers in London yesterday it's an ``illusion'' that the government could rescue the housing market without jeopardizing taxpayers' money and warned that increases in government spending risk fuelling inflation expectations. ``The governor seemed to be firing some warning shots,'' said Ross Walker, an economist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc in London. ``It was interesting the amount of emphasis he put on the implications of the taxpayer underwriting the mortgage-lending process.'' The GBP/USD is currently trading at $1.7682 as of 8:07am, GMT.

The Australian dollar rose as Asian equities rallied, increasing investors' appetite for higher-yielding assets. The currency climbed from two-year lows against the yen as Asian stocks gained for the first time in four days on speculation a possible purchase of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. will help stabilize markets. That gave investors confidence to return to so-called carry trades. Australia's currency also advanced as traders pared bets the central bank will reduce interest rates next month. ``We've got quite a strong rebound under way,'' said Tony Morriss, a currency strategist at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. in Sydney. ``Any resolution of the Lehman issue will see risk appetite increased and you're seeing that now on the yen crosses like the Aussie-yen.'' The AUD/USD is currently trading at 0.8090 as of 8:14am, GMT.

Pie Chart


Today's Economic Events

Time Event Currency Period Previous Forecast Significance Actual
14:00Business Inventories m/mUSDJul0.70%0.50%2
12:30Core Retail Sales m/mUSDAug0.40%-0.20%3
12:30PPI m/mUSDAug1.20%-0.50%3
12:30Retail Sales m/mUSDAug-0.10%0.20%3
12:30Core PPI m/mUSDAug0.70%0.20%3
9:00Industrial Production m/mEURJul0.00%-0.20%2-0.30%
9:00Employment ChangeEURQuarterly0.30%10.20%
8:00Industrial Production m/mEURJul0.10%-0.50%2-1.10%
6:45CPI m/mEURAug-0.20%0.10%20.00%


Finotec  | Global financial trading center, 1 Grivas Digheni and Chrysanthou, 3035 Mylona P.O.B 58007, Limassol
http://www.finotec.com/ | support@finotec.com

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FINOTEC Trading’s Market Commentaries are provided for informational purposes only. The information contained within these reports is gathered from reputable news sources and not intended as investment advice. FINOTEC Trading assumes no responsibility or liability from gains or losses incurred by the information herein.

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