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Update on FX trading recommendations

10

0

Buy EUR/HUF and buy USD/ZAR

Tue, Oct 27 2009, 11:14 GMT
by Lars Rasmussen

Danske Bank A/S


We recommend buying EUR/HUF spot at 268.75 for a target of 282, with a stop loss at 258. Furthermore we recommend buying USD/ZAR spot at 7.58 for a target of 8.00, with a stop loss at 7.20. We suggest a time horizon of one to three months.

Strong negative signals from our EMEA FX Scorecard

It is time for a correction in the EMEA FX markets – at least if one believes the signals from our EMEA FX Scorecard.

Over the last 24 hours our Scorecard has turned negative for most of the EMEA currencies and the total score is now negative for the first time since March-April.

This is an indication that we are in for a correction in the EMEA FX markets and we therefore recommend removing some risk from the books and reducing exposure to the EMEA FX markets.

Most at risk according to the Scorecard are the Hungarian forint and the South African rand. Read more here: Flash Comment - EMEA markets: Correction time


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Danske Bank  | Holmens Kanal 2-12, DK-1092 Copenhagen
http://www.danskebank.com/ | danskeresearch@danskebank.com

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This publication has been prepared by Danske Bank for information purposes only. It is not an offer or solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell any financial instrument. Whilst reasonable care has been taken to ensure that its contents are not untrue or misleading, no representation is made as to its accuracy or completeness and no liability is accepted for any loss arising from reliance on it. Danske Bank, its affiliates or staff, may perform services for, solicit business from, hold long or short positions in, or otherwise be interested in the investments (including derivatives), of any issuer mentioned herein. Danske Bank's research analysts are not permitted to invest in securities under coverage in their research sector. This publication is not intended for private customers in the UK or any person in the US. Danske Bank A/S is regulated by the FSA for the conduct of designated investment business in the UK and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Copyright () Danske Bank A/S. All rights reserved. This publication is protected by copyright and may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission.

Related reports

Emerging Markets Briefer - Asian recovery as strong as ever by Danske Bank A/S
Fri, Nov 13 2009, 09:24 GMT

EMEA Daily - We expect Hungarian GDP to have dropped 6.5% y/y in Q3 by Danske Bank A/S
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Forex Market Alerts - Poland, Hungary FX Flows - Looking for direction but slightly nervous by FXMarketAlerts
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New Europe Weekly - On a knife-edge for the EMEA markets by Danske Bank A/S
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