Pair has spent most of the last 2 days, trading in a tight range between 1.2780 support (38.2% retracement of the daily rally 1.1870/1.3330) and 1.2855 weekly high. Range had become even thinner ahead of US employment data, turning 4 hours indicators flat due to the lack of definitions. However the pair holds a slightly bullish tone: quoting above 200 EMA acting as dynamic support, and with 20 SMA under current price heading north; still, today’s data could distort all technical analysis. Watch for a break above that high, yet ignore spikes over the first 15 minutes after the news. Once settle above 1.2860/70 area, pair could towards 1.2930 next strong resistance area.
Downside has a first support around 1.2800, yet only under 1.2760 pair could turn more bearis, heading towards 1.2710 zone. However, being 80 pips above, a spike and bounce is possible, so again, we need to give the market to settle down, and confirm the break before taking any trading chance.
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