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Dollar Sticks to its Strength

Mon, Aug 25 2008, 11:16 GMT
by Swiss e Trade Strategy Team

Swiss e Trade AG


After aborting the start to an overdue downward correction, the U.S. currency started the week in Asian trading again on a stronger note, especially versus the British pound. This was reversed in the early European hours with more selling in the dollar, while the market seemingly wants to fill the weekend’s opening gap on the downside.

We see the market continuing this stance for today’s trading, but do not expect much of a downside correction move, as explained in the major pairs’ details below. There are no important fundamental data releases scheduled for today.

Intraday Market Outlook for Day Traders

EUR / USD
The pair, currently trading at 1.4740, wiped out almost the whole upward correction and fell back in Asian trading to its trading range followed for over a week now. Currently it is trading near its support levels at 1.4700 and 1.4650 again. In early European trading, the EUR / USD showed some recovery moves, which we see continuing today to its resistance level at 1.4800.

GBP / USD
The weakest major currency against the USD, the GBP, currently at 1.8475, has even broken the support zone of 1.8550. This is now a strong resistance on any upward move and limits today’s possible recovery attempts to 1.8550.

USD / CHF
For the sixth time, the USD / CHF rode to attack on the 1.1000/1.1050 resistance zone, but again failed in today’s early European trading. Currently the USD is trading at 1.0990 against the Swiss franc. We expect a further downward move to 1.0950, before another attempt to break the 1.1000/1.1050 resistance could set in.

USD / JPY
The USD / JPY continued to defend its higher levels in early European trading. The pair is currently trading at 109.97 in very low volatility. We don’t expect this picture to change meaningfully in today’s trading, projecting a narrow range of 109.80 and 110.10.


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