Daily Trading Forecast

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How to Tame a Bull
Mon, Aug 18 2008, 09:42 GMT
by Swiss e Trade Strategy Team
Swiss e Trade AG
The weekend’s closing bell finished with a less positive tone for the first time in 9 days, when dollar bears ran for cover amidst heavy stop-loss-buying fire. The downward bias in the dollar continued in Asian and early European trading, the first sign of an overdue correction move of the bull market.
This could last for some time to come now, considering the long-term overbought state of the Greenback, as expressed in its hastily achieved gain of roughly 10% against many world currencies. For today, we see accordingly changed trading ranges for the major pairs, with the details as discussed below.
Intraday Market Outlook for Day Traders
EUR / USD
Currently at 1.4737, the euro has recovered, timidly so far, but is trading now at a support zone. We see this support holding and further upmoves in low volatility, which will be limited at or near 1.4800.
GBP / USD The GBP / USD continued its recovery in early European trading and is currently at 1.8657. In a further upmove today, we see the 1.8750 level being tested but not broken.
USD / CHF After falling further in Asian trading, the dollar has gained a little in early European hours and is now trading at 1.0951 against the Swiss franc, near resistance. We expect this resistance to hold and see the levels 1.0920 and 1.0900 on the downside being tested today.
USD / JPY
The dollar started the week with a consolidation in very low volatility and is currently trading at the 110.20 support level against the yen. We see a very narrow range for this pair today, between 110.00 and current levels.
Published on
Mon, Aug 18 2008, 13:50 GMT
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Swiss e Trade AG shall not be responsible for any loss arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained. The contents of this publication should not be construed as an express or implied promise, guarantee or implication by Swiss e Trade that clients will profit from the strategies herein or that losses in connection therewith can or will be limited. Trades in accordance with the recommendations in an analysis, especially leveraged investments such as foreign exchange trading and investment in derivatives, can be very speculative and may result in losses as well as profits, in particular if the conditions mentioned in the analysis do not occur as anticipated.