EURUSD: EUR pushed through and closed below its strong YTD support at 1.3882 Thursday testing a low of 1.3747 before ending the session at 1.3804.While maintaining its current momentum and trading below its invalidated support, weakness is expected towards another key support located at its April’07 high at 1.3682 with a cut through there opening the door for further lower prices towards its Dec’04 high/August’07 low at 1.3366/61.We expect the pair to take a breather after the latter level is achieved. Its daily studies are supportive of this scenario. Strength off the present levels if seen should target the 1.3852/82 zone with a trade above there pushing the pair higher towards the 1.4015 level, its Oct’07 low and then its Sept 16’08 low at 1.4073 low. Above latter will open up upside risk towards the 1.4366/10 zone, its Jan’08/Dec’07 lows. While any signs of weakness in price momentum is yet be seen and having triggered its medium term decline off the 1.6038, EUR is now vulnerable to head further lower.

Support               Comments

1.3682                 April’07 high

1.3366/61            Dec’04 high/August’07 low

1.3312/1.3264    .618 Ret(1.1640-1.6038 rally)/Jun’07 low

Resistance        Comments

1.3852/82          YTD low/July’07 high

1.4015               Oct’07 low

1.4073               Sept 16’08 low

1.4152               Sept 19’08 low