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EURUSD: Momentum Subsides, Nearer Term Corrective Recovery Could Shaping Up

Wed, Oct 8 2008, 14:54 GMT
by Mohammed Isah

FXTechstrategy


  • EURUSD: Momentum Subsides, Nearer Term Corrective Recovery Could Shaping Up-EUR closed higher Tuesday after hitting an intra day high of 1.3743 off its recent low at 1.3443… 

  • GBPUSD: Bounces Off Intra Day Low, Trades Above The 1.7447 Level-After an intra day weakness saw the pair decline to its lowest price since late April’06,recovery off that low followed pushing GBP higher to close the session at 1.7464…

EURUSD: EUR closed higher Tuesday after hitting an intra day high of 1.3743 off its recent low at 1.3443. This development is coming on the back of the pair’s collapse and subsequent decline through its key support at the 1.3852/82 zone, its Sept 11’08 low/July’07 high to print its lowest price since Aug’07.That leaves both its short and medium term trend to the downside with any strength seen as corrective. Any nearer term corrective upside will be met with a strong support turned resistance at the 1.3682/66 zone, its April’07/Dec’04 highs with further gains aiming at 1.3682/66 zone, its April’07/Dec’04 highs and then the 1.3852/82 levels. This area should reverse roles and provide resistance before turning the pair lower again. Immediate support runs through the 1.3443 level and its Dec’04 Mohammed Isah Technical Strategist m.isah@fxtechstrategy.com 2 high/August’07 low at 1.3366/61 with a break there targeting the 1.3312/1.3264 zone, its .618 Ret (1.1640-1.6038 rally)/Jun’07 low. On the whole, weakness in momentum should keep the pair vulnerable to corrective recovery in the near term while retaining its bearish broader bias

Support               Comments

1.3682/66            April’07/Dec’04 highs

1.3366/61            Dec’04 high/August’07 low

1.3312/1.3264     .618 Ret(1.1640-1.6038 rally)/Jun’07 low

1.2980                 Jun’06 high

Resistance         Comments

1.3852/82          Sept 11’08 low/July’07 high

1.4015               Oct’07 low

1.4073               Sept 16’08 low


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FXTechstrategy http://www.fxtechstrategy.com/ | m.isah@fxtechstrategy.com

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This report is prepared solely for information and data purposes. Opinions, estimates and projections contained herein are those of FXTechstrategy.com own as of the date hereof and are subject to change without notice. The information and opinions contained herein have been compiled or arrived at from sources believed to be reliable but no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to their accuracy or completeness and neither the information nor the forecast shall be taken as a representation for which FXTechstrategy.com incurs any responsibility. FXTstrategy.com does not accept any liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this report or its contents. This report is not construed as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any of the currencies referred to in this report.

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