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EURUSD: While The 1.3882 & 1.3666 Levels Hold, Momentum Triggered At The 1.4867 Level Is Set To Continue

Tue, Oct 7 2008, 10:53 GMT
by Mohammed Isah

FXTechstrategy


EURUSD: Having opened the week sharply lower trading to a low of 1.3443 on Monday, EUR is now expected to head further lower in continuation of its medium term downtrend triggered yesterday. Violation of a key support level at the 1.3682/66 zone, its April’07/Dec’04 highs has now pave the way for additional decline towards its Dec’04 high/August’07 low at 1.3366/61.Below there will bring EUR towards the 1.3312/1.3264 zone, its .618 Ret(1.1640- 1.6038 rally)/Jun’07 low. Higher timeframe charts are in alignment with this scenario.However, if a recovery from its current decline is activated, the 1.3682/66 zone will be targeted initially ahead of the 1.3852/82 zone, Sept 11’08 low/July’07 high. These levels are expected to cap such upside recovery if seen before the pair turns lower again. Beyond there though not envisaged at the present price should see EUR aiming at the 1.4015 level, its Oct’07 low and then its Sept 16’08 low at 1.4073 low. Our medium term targets residing at the 1.3366/61 and 1.3264 levels are being eyed following Monday declines. On the whole, downside momentum remains intact in the medium term suggesting that further losses in the days and weeks ahead could be seen.

Support              Comments

1.3366/61           Dec’04 high/August’07 low

1.3312/1.3264   .618 Ret(1.1640-1.6038 rally)/Jun’07 low

1.2980                Jun’06 high

Resistance        Comments

1.3682/66           April’07/Dec’04 highs

1.3852/82           Sept 11’08 low/July’07 high

1.4015                Oct’07 low

1.4073                Sept 16’08 low


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FXTechstrategy http://www.fxtechstrategy.com/ | m.isah@fxtechstrategy.com

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This report is prepared solely for information and data purposes. Opinions, estimates and projections contained herein are those of FXTechstrategy.com own as of the date hereof and are subject to change without notice. The information and opinions contained herein have been compiled or arrived at from sources believed to be reliable but no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to their accuracy or completeness and neither the information nor the forecast shall be taken as a representation for which FXTechstrategy.com incurs any responsibility. FXTstrategy.com does not accept any liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this report or its contents. This report is not construed as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any of the currencies referred to in this report.

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