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EURUSD: Consolidation To Recovery Shapes Up

Tue, Aug 19 2008, 13:03 GMT
by Mohammed Isah

FXTechstrategy


EURUSD: Having declined for several weeks and holding below key support turned resistance at the 1.4967/51 zone (its range highs from Nov’07 and Jan’08/.618 Ret) and the 1.5302/1.5283 zone, representing its May/June’08 lows,EUR could be shaping up for consolidation to recovery which both price and its daily studies are now exhibiting. Although a low of 1.4530 was printed in early morning trading today, EUR is now trading within its twoday range supporting the above view. Nearby resistance lies at the 1.4728 level, its .786 Ret (1.4310-1.6038 rally) followed by the 1.5302/1.5283 zone and then the 1.4967/51 zone. On the contrary, if weakness is seen through its range breakout price objective at 1.4565 then the 1.4364 level, its Jan 22’08 low will be aimed at. Our medium term outlook continues to support this view with additional evidence exhibited the weekly and monthly studies. On the whole, EUR’s broader bias remains to the downside but may be preparing corrective recoveries following its recent decline.

SupportComments
1.4565Range Break Price Target
1.4364Jan 22’08 low
1.4014Oct’07 low

ResistanceComments
1.4728.786 Ret
1.4967/55Nov’07 and Jan’08 highs
1.5042/40Weekly 50 ema/.618 Ret (1.4438-1.6037 rally
1.5302/1.5283May/June’08 lows


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