Weekly Forex Signals

Weak times for sterling keeps dollar efficient

Mon, May 12 2008, 08:50 GMT
by Benny Menashe

Finotec Group Inc.


Long signalShort signal
Buy a break of resistance level at 1.9570Sell a break of support level at 1.9435
GBP/USDBuy a break of resistance level at 1.9620Sell a break of support level at 1.9340
Buy a bounce at 1.9435Sell a failure of breaking the resistance 1.9570


Fundamental

The Bank of England needs to balance upward pressures on inflation stemming from higher energy costs with downward pressures should the economic slowdown prove prolonged, according to policymaker Andrew Sentance.
In a paper published in the World Economic Journal, Sentance warns that recent shocks from global financial and commodity markets means the economy could be in for "a bumpy ride" in the near term.
The paper is based on an off-the-record lecture Sentance gave in Oxford on Jan. 29 but some of the information has been updated to reflect more recent data. The Bank of England was unable to say when it was updated.


Technical

The Sterling may continue the downtrend against the US dollar; according to technical charts the market is in a bearish direction with confirmation of many indicators like RSI, which is in a downtrend, MACD breaks the signal line, Bollinger gives us a bearish signal by closing the candle below the middle band.

GBP/USD (Daily Chart)

The primary tendency breaks the standard error channel middle line.

Daily Chart

GBP/USD (4 Hours Chart)

The medium term breaks the middle band.

4 Hours Chart

GBP/USD (Hourly Chart)

The Minor trend is clear downtrend.

Hourly

Resistance
1.9570
1.9620

Support
1.9435
1.9340

Archive

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