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The Daily Forecaster

Fri, Oct 30 2009, 04:15 GMT
by Ian Copsey

FX-Forecaster.com

Bias:       While 1.0200-05 caps I feel we can see direct losses to 1.0148 - take care - and probably 1.0070-92

Please read the attached PDF file which provides more detailed analysis

Daily Bullish

Price fell just short of the 1.0293 ideal target and losses developed all the way to the 1.0167 support. If we are going to see any stronger reversal higher then we'll need a break of 1.0205 which will then test the 1.0240-61 pivot area. Breach extends gains above 1.0286 and to 1.0352-58. Any earlier decline as I expect should happen will allow the downside to extend towards 1.0148 - take care as this may well provide a reaction - and then down to the pivot supports at 1.0120 and 1.0072-90 en route 1.0032 again. Look in this 1.0032-72 area for bullish reversal patterns to develop.

Medium Term Bullish
30th October:   I don't foresee any direct move higher now. However, do take care around the 1.0032-72 area which could actually cause a recycling of the correction back to the 1.0292-1.0318 area - max 1.0352. Otherwise wait for the 0.9870-0.9932 area for the final low.

Daily Bearish

We have just about reached the target at 1.0292-12 and while there can still be a test of this area I feel it will cap for a reversal lower. The key level to break is the 1.0240-45 pivot area. Once this has broken I'd expect follow-through to between 1.0192-16 and take care as this should cause a pullback. This might wrap up the day. However, a breach of 1.0190 will maintain the bearish momentum for the 1.0015-20 and 1.0082 pivot supports where a reaction should be expected. Finally there is the 1.0032 low.

Medium Term Bearish
30th October:   Price reached the minimum target for the correction and appears to be on its way lower. However, watch the 1.0032-72 area for a possible reversal and take care. Only below extends to 0.9932 minimum and potentially 0.9870.

For a full description of how to use the analysis please see the Analysis page of my website. The prior day's set ups for potential trading levels highlighted in the report are available on the Daily Forecast page of my web site along with a new report showing the prior day’s support & resistance levels.

• The Brief Daily Forecaster

Published on  Fri, Oct 30 2009, 04:20 GMT