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The Daily Forecaster

Thu, Jul 2 2009, 03:40 GMT
by Ian Copsey

FX-Forecaster.com


DAILY ANALYSIS FOR USDCAD
Resistance:1.15121.15461.15801.1600
Support:1.14571.14371.14091.1358-84

Please read the attached PDF file to ensure that you receive the full analysis...

Bias:            Mixed - waiting for breaks though ultimately I am looking for a low to develop and for stronger gains

Daily Bullish

Losses developed from a slightly lower level than expected but did reach the 1.1435-45 target. I don't really see any reversal signals currently and thus I am probably more in favor of another marginal new low today around the 1.1358-84 area. Thus look for a buying opportunity in the 1.1358-84 area. Only an earlier break above 1.1512 would risk a more direct bullish move up through 1.1546 and 1.1600 and back to the 1.1637-54 highs. I suspect this area should cap on first test. Note next resistances at 1.1693-14 and 1.1754. If the rally begins from 1.1358-84 then look for 1.1823-32.

Medium Term Bullish
29th June:  Gains have slowly been developing but I still see this reaching 1.1813-32 and while this should cause a correction the ultimate target will be higher to at least 1.1926.

Daily Bearish

The decline to 1.1435-45 has been seen and caused a reaction higher but hasn't been particularly strong as yet. While the 1.1512-20 resistance caps I do see some risk of additional losses and if seen would extend through 1.1435 and down into the 1.1358-84 support area. I feel this should be the limit of any losses. Thus for any stronger bearish stance look for a break of 1.1350 and only then would I consider the 1.1297 support to be tested at a minimum and possibly 1.1221.

Medium Term Bearish
2nd July:  We're going to need a break now below 1.1358-88 to provide any potential for a retest of the 1.1232 corrective low…

For a full description of how to use the analysis please see the Analysis page of my website. The prior day's set ups for potential trading levels highlighted in the report are now available on the Daily Forecast page of my web site

Published on  Thu, Jul 2 2009, 03:44 GMT


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The Daily Forecaster is an analytical tool only and is not intended to replace individual research. The service is offered as an opinion on the current state of the market with anticipated trading signals but not recommendations. The information provided in The Daily Forecaster should not be relied on as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your trading/investment decisions. Ian Copsey is merely providing this service for your general information. No representation is being made that any view or opinion will guarantee profits or not result in losses from trading. In addition any projections or views of the market provided may not prove to be accurate. The opinions are subject to change without notice. Opinions or views expressed in The Daily Forecaster are not meant to be either investment advice or a solicitation or recommendation to establish market positions. Ian Copsey will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained in this service. The information contained is private and may not be distributed or shared.

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