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The Daily Forecaster

Fri, Feb 13 2009, 03:57 GMT
by Ian Copsey

FX-Forecaster.com  |  View company's profile


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DAILY ANALYSIS FOR EURUSD
Resistance:1.29051.29251.29491.2980-00
Support:1.2835-501.28101.27651.2705-20

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Bias:            It seems we still need to wait for losses of 1.2705 to generate losses - until then take care

Daily Bullish

Loss of 1.2784 provided the dip into the 1.2710-35 area which provoked quite a solid bounce which eventually reached the 1.2905 level. I suspect we're going to see a deeper correction from this peak but while it remains above 1.2790-10 it may still be possible to talk about a deeper correction higher. However, if this is the case then the risk will be for quite a solid move. Above 1.2905 - take care at 1.2949 - breach extends to 1.3000 - care - a further breach would maintain the upside for 1.3060-96. Should be enough for today...

Medium Term Bullish
12th February:  In the larger picture a break above 1.3034 would risk a return to the 1.3073-92 highs and if taken out then we can expect either a cap around 1.3120 or a stronger move through to no more than 1.3180-00...


Daily Bearish

The bounce from the 1.2710-35 support target has taken price up to peak at 1.2905 which is midway into the prior congestion area. While this 1.2905-49 area caps the downside (which is the underlying preference) remains the more dominant influence. We shall need a break below 1.2810 and 1.2790 to be sure of retesting the 1.2705 low. If this breaks then the decline could be quite relentless although first support is at 1.2649 and I feel a more realistic target at 1.2564...

Medium Term Bearish
11th February:   The structure definitely looks more bearish overall though we're going to need to 1.3034 area to cap and for losses below 1.2682-05.

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The Daily Forecaster is an analytical tool only and is not intended to replace individual research. The service is offered as an opinion on the current state of the market with anticipated trading signals but not recommendations. The information provided in The Daily Forecaster should not be relied on as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your trading/investment decisions. Ian Copsey is merely providing this service for your general information. No representation is being made that any view or opinion will guarantee profits or not result in losses from trading. In addition any projections or views of the market provided may not prove to be accurate. The opinions are subject to change without notice. Opinions or views expressed in The Daily Forecaster are not meant to be either investment advice or a solicitation or recommendation to establish market positions. Ian Copsey will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained in this service. The information contained is private and may not be distributed or shared.
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