Every week, we are publishing the Experts Forecast Currencies Poll. A pool of selected traders and analysts gives us their targets for the major currencies for the week, month and quarter to come. They also indicate the whole trend in these periods.
The report includes a visual table for each pair, as well as the comments that the experts might have added to their analysis.
Agree or disagree? Comments? Your own forecast? Post your thoughts in the Forecasts discussion group!
| EURUSD | 1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Quarter | 1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Quarter | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levels | Trend | |||||||
| ©FXstreet.com | Fri, Nov 23 2012, 17:00 GMT | |||||||
| A. Narczewski | 1.3000 | 1.2800 | 1.2500 | Bullish | Bearish | Bearish | ||
| Alberto Muñoz,PhD | 1.2950 | 1.3080 | 1.2800 | Sideways | Bullish | Bearish | ||
| BBVA Bancomer Team | - | 1.2800 | - | - | Bearish | - | ||
| BoA FX, Rates and Commodities Team | - | 1.2300 | 1.2200 | - | Bearish | Bearish | ||
| Capital Economics Research Team | - | 1.2000 | 1.1500 | - | Bearish | Bearish | ||
| Claudiu Cazacu | 1.2980 | 1.2900 | 1.3150 | Bullish | Sideways | Bullish | ||
| Danske Research Team | - | - | 1.3000 | - | - | Sideways | ||
| DBS Group Research | - | 1.2800 | 1.2900 | - | Bearish | Sideways | ||
| Dr. S. Sivaraman | 1.3177 | 1.3873 | 1.4245 | Bullish | Bullish | Bullish | ||
| GFM Research Private Limited | 1.3022 | 1.3022 | 1.3250 | Bullish | Bullish | Bullish | ||
| Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research | - | 1.2500 | - | - | Bearish | - | ||
| Gonçalo Moreira, CMT | 1.3030 | 1.3200 | 1.3100 | Bullish | Bullish | Bullish | ||
| Gus Farrow | 1.2970 | 1.3148 | 1.2550 | Sideways | Bullish | Bearish | ||
| HSBC Global Research Team | - | - | 1.2680 | - | - | Bearish | ||
| Hugo Venter | 1.2950 | 1.2200 | 1.1800 | Sideways | Bearish | Bearish | ||
| Ilian Yotov | 1.3000 | 1.2500 | 1.2500 | Bullish | Bearish | Bearish | ||
| ING Global Economics Team | - | 1.2200 | 1.1800 | - | Bearish | Bearish | ||
| J.P. Morgan Global FX Strategy | - | - | 1.2800 | - | - | Bearish | ||
| Luc Luyet, CMT, CIIA | 1.2700 | 1.2500 | 1.2800 | Bearish | Bearish | Bearish | ||
| Mauricio Carrillo | 1.3020 | 1.2800 | 1.3150 | Bullish | Bearish | Bullish | ||
| NAB Global Markets Research | - | 1.3300 | 1.3400 | - | Bullish | Bullish | ||
| National Bank of Canada Eco. & Strat. Team | - | 1.2700 | 1.2300 | - | Bearish | Bearish | ||
| Nomura FX Research & Strategy | 1.2980 | - | - | Bullish | - | - | ||
| Rabobank Financial Markets Research Team | - | 1.2800 | 1.3000 | - | Bearish | Sideways | ||
| RBC Economic Research Team | - | 1.3200 | 1.2800 | - | Bullish | Bearish | ||
| RBS Team | - | 1.2700 | 1.2300 | - | Bearish | Bearish | ||
| Richard C. Lee | 1.3140 | 1.3000 | 1.3200 | Bullish | Sideways | Bullish | ||
| Scotiabank FX Strategy Team | - | 1.2700 | 1.2700 | - | Bearish | Bearish | ||
| TD Securities Research Team | - | 1.2500 | 1.1800 | - | Bearish | Bearish | ||
| Telmo Pinto | 1.3020 | - | - | Bullish | - | - | ||
| UBS FX Research Team | - | 1.3000 | 1.2500 | - | Sideways | Bearish | ||
| UniCredit Research | - | 1.3000 | 1.3200 | - | Sideways | Bullish | ||
| Valeria Bednarik | 1.3170 | 1.2900 | 1.2660 | Bullish | Sideways | Bearish | ||
| Westpac Institutional Bank Team | - | 1.2600 | - | - | Bearish | - | ||
| Yohay Elam | 1.2800 | 1.2500 | 1.2500 | Bearish | Bearish | Bearish | ||
| Average | 1.2994 | 1.2784 | 1.2703 | Bullish | Bearish | Bearish | ||
Upwards movement is likely to be seen over the next week as according to our analysis we expect the pair is still within a second wave correction. Two more waves are expected before this second wave correction would be complete, the first wave should be short term bearish, while the second and last wave should move very likely to a new high.
The EUR could get a boost if the Eurogroup finally approves the next tranche of financial aid to Greece. On the other hand, a EUR rally would be short-lived when pessimism and risk aversion set back in.
Hopes for Greece became high once again, and this is already priced into the pair. If no agreement is reached on Monday, there is a lot of downside potential
Risk Disclosure
This forecast has just an informative meaning and cannot be treated as the guide to action, signal, recommendation or an offer to carry out certain trading operation. The experts of this poll expresses personal opinions and will not assume any responsibility whatsoever for the actions of the reader.We always aim for maximum accuracy, and FXstreet.com cannot be held responsible for inaccurate information or typos.
month end followed by year end aggressive rise moves may be seen