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Technical analysis: US Ten Year Note Future
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US TNote Future – Sep 2009
Tue, Jun 16 2009, 08:17 GMT
by Nicole Elliott
Comment: Yield curves should continue to flatten from what are currently some of their steepest ever, with Bunds outperforming US Treasuries (marginally) while the Eurozone and the US slug it out as to which has the bigger banking problem. Meanwhile equity investors are belatedly reacting to high yields and expensive energy, indices toppling suddenly from this year’s highest levels. Joined-up thinking for a change so that fixed income futures rally from very oversold positions, the TNote having given up 61% of the 2007-2008 rally. Benchmark ten-year yields balked and reversed from the psychological 4.00% area, which is also one standard deviation from the mean since 2001. These should continue to move lower this month and next, taking the futures contract back up to 118.16/119.00 medium term.
Strategy: Buy at 114.22/114.00; stop below 112.20. Add to longs on a daily close above 115.04 and again on a sustained break above 117.08 for 119.00 short term.
Published on Tue, Jun 16 2009, 08:18 GMT
Archive
- US TNote Future – Dec 2009
Published On Tue, Nov 3 2009, 08:56 GMT - US TNote Future – Dec 2009
Published On Tue, Oct 27 2009, 09:39 GMT - US TNote Future – Dec 2009
Published On Tue, Oct 20 2009, 08:26 GMT - US TNote Future – Dec 2009
Published On Tue, Oct 13 2009, 07:45 GMT - US TNote Future – Dec 2009
Published On Tue, Oct 6 2009, 08:25 GMT
Mizuho Corporate Bank
| 1-3-3, Marunouchi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-8210
http://www.mizuho-cb.co.uk | Nicole.Elliot@mhcb.co.uk
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