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Multi TimeFrame Market Outlook: EURUSD

Mon, Jun 30 2008, 14:46 GMT
by David Gaudre

WFXAdvisor


Weekly :


EURUSD Weekly Chart

Rebound on main support has been effective and last week closed above consolidation triangle. Expected trading range extends from 1.5610 to 1.5980.

To the upside
, new highs above 1.5830 weekly high obviously targets 1.5906 main resistance (1st objective). If no rejection at this level, main trendline at 1.5980 (2nd objective) may be reached easily. A break above targets 138.2% FE at 1.6110.

To the downside
, first support to come is 1.5680, backed by 1.5625 (1st objective). If no rebound occurs on this support zone, downside may extends towards 1.5490 last week low (2nd objective). Break below 1.5436 is negative.



Daily :

EURUSD Daily Chart


Falling wedge consolidation is over, but EUR still in mai consolidation range. Expected trading range for coming days extends from 1.5655 to 1.5940.

To the upside, a daily close above 1.5820 is needed to expect an upside break of the range. Then, a rise towards 1.59 minor resistance is likely (1st objective). Above there, 138.2% FE at 1.5947 has to be outperformed in order to expect a test of historical highs reisitance at 1.6010 (2nd objective).

To the downside, first support zone comes at 1.5990 – 1.5705 (1st objective). If this level can’t hold & reject price to the upside, we may see a deeper correction towards 1.5620 triangle low (2nd objective).  Below there, another cluster support at 1.5550/75 may hold & reject prices. Break below this level is negative.



4-Hours :


EURUSD 4-Hours Chart


Still in the main 1.54 – 1.58 range, ocverbought status forces price to consolidate.. towards range low ?

To the upside, 1.5830 is established as main resistance and range top. A break above targets 1.5880 main trendline (1st objective), ahead of 23.6% fib. projection (of rise from 1.5470 to 1.5834) at 1.5920 (2Nd objective). No rejection here targets 1.5975/95 resistance zone later.

To the downside
, broken wedge at 1.5710 act now as a support. If no rebond on it, a deeper consolidation towards 1.5650 range middle is likely (1st objective). If this level can’t hold and reject price, fall towards 2nd cluster support at 1.5560 may be seen (2nd objective). If no one of these supports are able to reject price to the upside, fall towards 1.5450/75 main trendline may follow, and a break below this level is negative. However, range break lower is valid only if price trades below 1.5420.


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