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FX Thoughts for the Day

Wed, Aug 6 2008, 11:42 GMT
by Kshitij Consultancy Service Team

Kshitij Consultancy Service


EURO, JAP YEN and EURO-YEN

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EURO, JAP YEN and EURO-YEN
---------------------------
Read our current comments and trade recommendations on EUR-USD, USD-JPY and EUR-JPY by registering at
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Our comments on Dollar-Swiss, Sterling Pound and Australian Dollar are given below
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USD-CHF @ 1.0533/38.... Within a tight range again.
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R: 1.0550-60 / 1.0600 / 1.0650
S: 1.0500 / 1.0470 / 1.0450-30 / 1.0400
The pair continues to trade within a 50 pips range once again after testing the Support at 1.0500. For now, the pair could continue the tight trading range within 1.0500-1.0550 with an upward bias. A break above is expected eventually, which could lead to a test of stronger Resistance at 1.0650.

A slip below 1.050, which does not seem likely in the day, could see some buying developing near 1.0465. We had warned about the possibility of the tight trading range earlier in the day.
 

 GBP-USD @ 1.9525/30... Could rise towards 1.9650
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R: 1.9565 / 1.9600 / 1.9650-75 / 1.9700-20
S: 1.9520 / 1.9500 / 1.9435-00
Cable has an important Support in the 1.9520-9500 region which is expected to hold over the week and produce a bounce towards 1.9650.

For the day, as long as the Support holds there is a high chance of a bounce beyond 1.96. However, not forgetting the fact that a rise earlier in the day faced a strong Resistance on a rise towards 1.96.

Holding:
Long 10K GBP at 1.9554, SL 1.9510, TP 1.9570

 
 AUD-USD @ 0.9151/55... Could dip further
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R: 0.9200 / 0.9235 / 0.9275 / 0.9300
S: 0.9150 / 0.9100 / 0.9000
In line with our expectation, a rise in the pair was seen. However, the rise was restricted to 0.9205, the 200-day SMA, while we would have preffered to sell at 0.9225. In the day another rise might not be seen and a slide could continue from here towards 0.90.

For now a rise from here is expected to face strong Resistance at 0.92. The trend is downward and expected to continue in the week.

Holding:
Short 10K AUD at 0.9155, SL 0.9240, TP 0.9070


Happy Trading!

 


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