Forex Economic Analysis

Forex Technical Analysis on Majors

Tue, Jul 1 2008, 08:32 GMT
by Stoyan Mihaylov

www.deltastock.com


  • EUR/USD

eurusd300608

Current level-1.5751

The pair has set a local bottom at 1.5301 completing the slide from 1.5844. Technical indicators are neutral. Trading takes place above 50- day SMA, currently projected at 1.5609.
  
 
Previous week was totally positive for the pair, as it advanced well above 1.5767. We think there is no chance , that the recent rise from 1.5301 is a corrective one, so a break above 1.5844 is expected to challenge 1.5915 and 1.6019 later on. Breaking beyond 1.5844 will signal, that the general uptrend has been renewed, for 1.6131 and 1.6566 in the weeks to come.
Yesterday's test of 1.5844 resistance level failed and the pair entered a corrective phase, that should be limited above 1.5647 before renewing the uptrend towards 1.6019.
Today's strategy: Sell rallies to 1.5778-93 , stop above 1.5807, target 1.5686.

Key Market Levels
MinorIntradayMajorIntraweek
Resistance1.58081.58441.58441.6020
Support1.57211.56831.55371.50+

__________


  • USD/JPY

usdjpy300608


Current level - 105.83

The pair is in a corrective uptrend from the 95.75 short-term bottom. Technical indicators are flat and the upmove is dynamically supported at 104.74. The inner structure of the rise is by all means a corrective one, so from a larger point of view the overall downtrend from 124.14 is not over yet.  


The acceleration of the downtrend has denied the possibility, that a final spike high around 109.30 is still possible and it is clear, that a mid-term top is set at 108.59 and current slide is aiming at 102.63 and 100.06 later on. As expected, the pair consolidates above 104.74 support and one more day is needed for it to fulfill the time requirements and the downtrend to be renewed towards 102.63.


Today's strategy: Trade the 105.27-106.48 range and keep in mind, that the breakaway will surely be on the downside.

Key Market Levels
MinorIntradayMajorIntraweek
Resistance106.27107.12108.93109.51
Support105.24104.75104.75102.63

__________



  • GBP/USD

gbpusd260608

Current level- 1.9973


The pair is in a broad consolidation above 1.9338 and below 2.0397. Technical indicators are flat on the higher time-frames and trading is situated between the 50- and 200-day SMA, currently projected at 1.9685 and 1.9982.

Major break took place last week  at 1.9851 and that was a clear sign, that the 1.9338-1.9851 range has already ended. This will automatically set present target at 2.0274 in the days to come. As expected, there was a sharp retest of the 1.9791 support and after hitting an intraday low at 1.9803, GBP/USD advanced beyond 1.9891 to 1.9965. For today expect the uptrend to continue towards intraday resistance at 2.0028, en route to 2.0193.
Today's strategy : Stand aside.

Key Market Levels
MinorIntradayMajorIntraweek
Resistance1.99832.00282.01932.0397
Support1.98611.97911.93381.9196

Published on  Tue, Jul 1 2008, 08:38 GMT

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Legal disclaimer and risk disclosure

These analyses are for information purposes only. They DO NOT post a BUY or SELL recommendation for any of the financial instruments herein analyzed. The information is obtained from generally accessible data sources. The forecasts made are based on technical analysis. However, Deltastock’s Analyst Dept. also takes into consideration a number of fundamental and macroeconomic factors, which we believe impact the price moves of the observed instruments. Deltastock Inc. assumes no responsibility for errors, inaccuracies or omissions in these materials, nor shall it be liable for damages arising out of any person's reliance upon the information on this page. Deltastock Inc. shall not be liable for any special, indirect, incidental, or consequential damages, including without limitation, losses or unrealized gains that may result. Any information is subject to change without notice.

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