Forex Economic Analysis

Forex Technical Analysis on Majors

Fri, Jun 27 2008, 08:33 GMT
by Stoyan Mihaylov

www.deltastock.com


  • EUR/USD

eusd250608

Current level-1.5741

The pair has set a local bottom at 1.5301 completing the slide from 1.5844. Technical indicators are neutral. Trading takes place above 50- day SMA, currently projected at 1.5609.
  
 
Yesterday's intraday minor consolidation remained limited above 1.5614 and later on the pair broke through the 1.5686 resistance, reaching high at 1.5767. We still expect a reversal around current levels and a downtrend to emerge for another test of the 1.5283-1.5301 support zone. Crucial for our idea is 1.5844, as if the pair climbs above it, it will be clear, that the major, general uptrend has been renewed, as we stated in our monthly forecast in the beginning of June. Intraday wait for a bearish pattern to show, that the expected move is on the run.


Today's strategy: Sell at current levels with a stop above 1.5781, first target is 1.5634, the second one is TBD later.

Key Market Levels
MinorIntradayMajorIntraweek
Resistance1.57671.58441.58441.6020
Support1.56861.55921.52831.50+

__________


  • USD/JPY

usdjpy260608


Current level - 106.72

The pair is in a corrective uptrend from the 95.75 short-term bottom. Technical indicators are rising slowly and the upmove is dynamically supported at 104.74. The inner structure of the rise is by all means a corrective one, so from a larger point of view the overall downtrend from 124.14 is not over yet.  


As expected the pair broke through 107.67, reaching low at 106.62. Further drowning is expected, towards 106.38, where a reversal of the current downtrend should take place for climbing back again towards 108.44. Unfortunately it is too risky to be on the long side, even on the mid frames, 'cause there is a possibility, that a major sell-off has already began. Be patient and wait for more clear patterns to evolve.


Today's strategy: Stand aside.

Key Market Levels
MinorIntradayMajorIntraweek
Resistance107.67108.66108.93109.51
Support106.61106.38104.75102.63

__________



  • GBP/USD

gbpusd260608

Current level- 1.9853


The downtrend from the 2.0397 local top  has reached low at 1.9374. Technical indicators are reversed on the 4 h. chart and the trading is situated below the 50- and 200-day SMA, currently projected at 1.9680 and 1.9992.
 

Major break took place yesterday at 1.9851 and that was a clear sign, that the 1.9338-1.9851 range has already ended. This will automatically set present target at 2.0274 in the days to come. Keep in mind, that 1.9851 was not a typical break-out level, so there is no obligation for the upmove to advance straight towards the target and current consolidation is expected to retest 1.9791 and even 1.9767 before renewing of the general upmove.
Today's strategy : Stand aside.

Key Market Levels
MinorIntradayMajorIntraweek
Resistance1.98961.99632.02282.0397
Support1.97911.97671.93381.9196

Published on  Fri, Jun 27 2008, 08:36 GMT

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Legal disclaimer and risk disclosure

These analyses are for information purposes only. They DO NOT post a BUY or SELL recommendation for any of the financial instruments herein analyzed. The information is obtained from generally accessible data sources. The forecasts made are based on technical analysis. However, Deltastock’s Analyst Dept. also takes into consideration a number of fundamental and macroeconomic factors, which we believe impact the price moves of the observed instruments. Deltastock Inc. assumes no responsibility for errors, inaccuracies or omissions in these materials, nor shall it be liable for damages arising out of any person's reliance upon the information on this page. Deltastock Inc. shall not be liable for any special, indirect, incidental, or consequential damages, including without limitation, losses or unrealized gains that may result. Any information is subject to change without notice.

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