Current level at 10:49 CET is 1.5434, trading below the daily pivot point level of 1.5530, having bounced off second support and 1.5397 this morning. Although this currency pair has been stuck in a narrow range for the past six weeks, there are signs of weakness emerging gradually. We have finally managed to break below the daily Ichimoku cloud base at 1.5495 and now need to soon see a follow-through to the downside. Should this not materialize then we should expect a continuation of the range trading within the 1.5350 1.5850 bandspread. The Fibonacci 38.2 percent retracement level of the 1.4311 -1.6017 range comes in at 1.5360 and has stemmed the downside already on three occasions within the past 3 months. The daily MACD oscillator is falling and is below the zero line while daily standard error bands are now poised to the downside. Pivot point related resistance levels for today are to be found at 1.5610 and then 1.5667.
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