Thu, Aug 6 2009, 06:37 GMT
by Nicole Elliott
Mizuho Corporate Bank | View company's profile
Comment: Can anyone spot a ‘black swan’? The Euro is consolidating at the very top of this year’s range, is not overbought (though bullish momentum could be stronger) so expect another burst higher hopefully by the end of this week. Our measured targets are 1.4600 and eventually the psychological 1.5000.
Strategy: Attempt longs at 1.4400, adding to 1.4360; stop well below 1.4200. Short term target 1.4435, then 1.4545 and after that 1.4635.
Comment: Hovering slightly unsteadily at some of this year’s highest levels, overbought with declining bullish momentum. Who knows where it will end, but it will be messy, and we are very wary of upside breaks in some other currency pairs (namely AUD/JPY, BRL/JPY, CAD/JPY, NOK/JPY and NZD/JPY where some may say there is an element of catch-up). Stand aside if possible.
Strategy: Possibly attempt tiny shorts at 137.00; stop above 137.75. Short term target 136.00, maybe 133.50.
Comment: Perched at the psychological 1.7000 level as many look on in amazement at the pound, late to the party as volume and open interest in the futures increase. Our measured targets remain at 1.7100 then 1.7500. Careful though as it is almost overbought and bullish momentum is not nearly as strong as many would hope.
Strategy: Attempt longs at 1.6995 but only if prepared to add to 1.6800; stop well below 1.6700. First target 1.7044 again, then 1.710/1.71250 and after that 1.7500.
Comment: Nothing to add as we continue to struggle above moving averages and below a descending Ichimoku ‘cloud’. Be careful as many of these look over-extended. The Lagging Span is holding under the candles which drop dramatically in two days’ time. We continue to favour generalised US dollar weakness and therefore eventually dollar/yen ought to move lower.
Strategy: Attempt shorts at 95.15; stop above 96.00. Short term target 94.15, then 93.00.
Published on Thu, Aug 6 2009, 06:42 GMT
Mizuho Corporate Bank
http://www.mizuho-cb.co.uk | Nicole.Elliot@mhcb.co.uk
Continued Economic Recovery, Low Inflation by Wells Fargo Investments, LLC
Fri, Mar 19 2010, 19:58 GMT
USD higher, Greek debt worries, India hikes rates by Easy Forex
Fri, Mar 19 2010, 18:04 GMT
EUR/USD: No time for reversal yet by FXstreet.com Independent Analyst Team
Fri, Mar 19 2010, 15:27 GMT
Stock Traders focusing on Quadruple Witching by ForexHound.com
Fri, Mar 19 2010, 14:36 GMT
Discount rate discussions keeping floor under bonds by Interactive Brokers LLC
Fri, Mar 19 2010, 14:29 GMT
eurusd, eurjpy, techbanks, highlighted, gbpusd, usdjpy
[ View All ]Forex: EUR/USD ends week below 1.3550, first time in 10-months
FXstreet.com | Fri, Mar 19 2010, 20:31 GMT
Forex: Cable fell sharply on Friday
FXstreet.com | Fri, Mar 19 2010, 19:19 GMT
Forex: USD/JPY pulls back to 90.35
FXstreet.com | Fri, Mar 19 2010, 18:42 GMT
Forex: AUD up from lows and sleepy ahead weekend
FXstreet.com | Fri, Mar 19 2010, 17:25 GMT
Indices: FTSE closes with loses, correction
FXstreet.com | Fri, Mar 19 2010, 16:39 GMT
eurusd, eurjpy, techbanks, highlighted, gbpusd, usdjpy
[ View All ]GET CASH BACK FOR YOUR TRADES! Learn more about the Pip Rebate Program