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Today USD rose broadly in asian trading.

Fri, Sep 19 2008, 08:51 GMT
by Varengold Bank Research Team

Varengold Wertpapierhandelsbank AG


Good morning from the cooling north of Germany. This decline is not only a result of temperature but also of the balance sheets from the banks. After we saw the dramatic situation of Lehman Brothers, AIG, Washington Mutual, HBOS and now the biggest Investment Bank in the United States, Morgan Stanley, is also searching for fresh money. Everybody is going to crave the weekenend because the traders and the markets could take a deep breath.

Market review

The RBNZ says the current turmoil in global markets has a negativ effect on liqudity in New Zealand, but the countrie’s banking system can work still fine. Governer Bollard says the bank would introduce two new measures to alleviate liqudity pressure. The central bank is going to allow bank paper in daily market operations and asset back securities as collateral in domestic operations. The statement supported the currency explicit and boosted the NZD/USD 2.7 % up.

Canadian banks do not seem to need help from Bank of Canada to manage their USD funding needs. The central bank mentioned this after announcing a 10 billion USD swap facility with the US Federal Reserve to provide liquidity yesterday. So the USD/CAD gained 1.4 % and closed the session at 1.0585.

Today USD rose broadly in asian trading. The main reason is that the US Government and Congress will come up soon with a plan to deal with the toxic bank assets, causing the credit crisis. The plan might be to set up a fund to buy distressed assets from banks, following the example of the Resolution Trust Corporation. This fund was used to clean up bad debts from savings and loan crisis in the late 1980s. At the moment the EUR/USD fell 0.9 % to 1.4220 while the USD/CHF is up 1.0 % at 1.1156. The USD – index, which tracks the US currency’s performance against six major currencies , was up 0.8 % at 78.79.

USD/CAD

Driven by turbolent Commodity prices, the CAD lost 5 % in the last month. But since the beginning of September the USD/CAD has been trading in a side range between 1,0566 and 1,0734. Yesterday the currency pair reached the support level. If the pair don’t cross the line, it will rebound and start a recovery phase to the resistance level.

image 1

AUD/USD

As well as the CAD, the AUD suffered from the declining commodity prices too. Since the mid of July the Aussie has been trading in an upward trend channel and lost nearly 20 % in value. Yesterday the Aussie rose up to the upper trendline but didn’t crossed it. There are no clear sign that the pair will break through the channel.

image 2



Varengold Wertpapierhandelsbank AG  | Große Elbstraße 27, 22767 Hamburg
http://www.varengold.de/ | info@varengold.de

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This document is issued and approved by Varengold WPH Bank AG. The document is only intended for market counterparties and intermediate customers who are expected to make their own investment decisions without undue reliance on the information set out within the document. It may not be reproduced or further distributed, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Due to international laws/regulations not all financial instruments/services may be available to all clients. You should have informed yourself about and observe any such restrictions when considering a potential investment decision. This electronic communication and its contents are intended for the recipient only and may contain confidential, non public and/or privileged information. If you have received this electronic communication in error, please advise the sender immediately, and delete it from your system (if permitted by law). Varengold does not warrant the accuracy, completeness or correctness of any information herein or the appropriateness of any transaction. Nothing herein shall be construed as a recommendation or solicitation to purchase or sell any financial product. This communication is for informational purposes only. Any market or other views expressed herein are those of the sender only as of the date indicated and not of Varengold. Varengold reserves the right to consider any order sent electronically as not received unless it is confirmed verbally or through other means.

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