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New Zealand Q2 producer prices rose 5.6%

Tue, Aug 19 2008, 07:03 GMT
by Varengold Bank Research Team

Varengold Wertpapierhandelsbank AG


Good morning from Hamburg and welcome to the Varengold Daily FX Report. New Zealand Q2 producer prices rose 5.6%, much more than the 2.6% increase expected by economists. This development is the fastest pace in more than 20 years. However we wish you a nice day and good luck in trading.

Market review

Platinum lost over 5%, falling to its lowest level since the beginning of August as weaker gold and oil prices spark another round of selling. The spot platinum price went down to a low of 1,310 an ounce. The fall in commodities is helping support the dollar index. The USD/JPY is down 0.3% to a low of 109.80 while the EUR/JPY slipped pips to 161.70. The EUR/USD also dipped along with gold, while some margin traders keep unwinding positions placed that were betting that the global economy would hold up better from the US slowdown. The EUR/USD lost about 10 pips from the late US trade to a low of 1.4686. It is falling back near its 6-mth low of 1.4645. The one month correlation among EUR/USD and gold is +0.98 vs. a one year correlation of +0.86. That’s showing a stronger near-term linkage.
The RBA saw a case to reduce interest rates earlier to head off a deeper slowdown in the economy, even if inflation remained high. AUD decreased to its day’s low of 0.8634 but recovered quickly back to 0.8672 as the meeting of RBA gave a little sign of whether they will open for a 25-bp or 50-bp rate cut next month. The AUD/JPY also fell down to a low of 94.78 and bounced back to 95.20.

USD/CHF

Since the 13th of August the USD/CHF has been trading in an increasing trend channel with a support at 1.092 and a resistance level at 1.006. In yesterday’s late trading session, the market has traded close to the under trend line. If the currency pair breaks trough this trend line, we could expect a downward development today.

USD/NZD

Since the beginning of April, the NZD/USD has been trading in a decreasing trend channel. After touching the upper trend line for the third time the market broke trough the support, but there seems to be a recovery back to the trend channel after the market was supported at 0.68 six days ago.


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http://www.varengold.de/ | info@varengold.de

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This document is issued and approved by Varengold WPH Bank AG. The document is only intended for market counterparties and intermediate customers who are expected to make their own investment decisions without undue reliance on the information set out within the document. It may not be reproduced or further distributed, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Due to international laws/regulations not all financial instruments/services may be available to all clients. You should have informed yourself about and observe any such restrictions when considering a potential investment decision. This electronic communication and its contents are intended for the recipient only and may contain confidential, non public and/or privileged information. If you have received this electronic communication in error, please advise the sender immediately, and delete it from your system (if permitted by law). Varengold does not warrant the accuracy, completeness or correctness of any information herein or the appropriateness of any transaction. Nothing herein shall be construed as a recommendation or solicitation to purchase or sell any financial product. This communication is for informational purposes only. Any market or other views expressed herein are those of the sender only as of the date indicated and not of Varengold. Varengold reserves the right to consider any order sent electronically as not received unless it is confirmed verbally or through other means.


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