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JPY fell broadly on Wednesday
Thu, May 15 2008, 07:35 GMT
by Varengold Bank Research Team
Varengold Wertpapierhandelsbank AG
Good morning from again sunny Hamburg. It is Thursday and the week is in his end phase. In our offices Thursday is called “small Friday” because the weekend is coming. Today we still have some interesting economic data in euro zone. Let´s have a look what the day has prepared for us.
Markets review
JPY fell broadly on Wednesday as a benign US consumer inflation report for April raised investors´ appetite for risk and was seen giving the Federal reserve bank flexibility to deal with an economic downturn. The slower increase in consumer price index caused traders to sell the dollar. USD/JPY was up 0,3 % at 105,03 late in New York. EUR/JPY was also up 0,3 % at 162,45.
NZD/USD fell on a 4-month low of 0,7554 after NZ Q1 retail sales data fell by more than expected 1,2 % vs Q4. Some market expectations had been for a fall of 0,3 %. When this news came out market was around 0,7605. So there was a loss of a half US cent in a short time frame.
In EUR/USD was reached a session high at 1,5514 this morning. This move was caused by German GDP. It rose 1,5 % in Q1 and so it topped forecasts around 0,7 % increase. The annual pace of growth accelerates to 3,4 % from 1,6 % in Q4 2007. Germany’s Stats Office says the economy remained robust despite mounting headwinds, and that Q1 growth was powered by both domestic demand and exporters.
Technical analysis
EUR/GBP
The strong up trend in EUR/GBP, which started at the beginning of February, stopped abrupt at the resistance level at 0,8099. The afterwards drop down touched once the support line at 0,7762 and rebounded from it. Attention should be paid if it will cross the resistance with further long or rebound again with further short potential.
USD/CAD
During April the USD/CAD trades in a horizontal trend channel. Also in May the resistance at 1,0199 endures and the USD came close to the support level at 1,000. Yesterday it crossed this physiological important level but it recovered and came back in the former range. Should it quotes a second time under the level could linger a short trend.
| Currency | Support 2 | Support 1 | Pivotpoint | Resistance 1 | Resistance 2 |
| EUR / USD | 1,5360 | 1,5417 | 1,5452 | 1,5509 | 1,5544 |
| USD / JPY | 104,12 | 104,58 | 105,01 | 105,47 | 105,90 |
| GBP / USD | 1,9324 | 1,9394 | 1,9434 | 1,9504 | 1,9544 |
| USD / CHF | 1,0461 | 1,0502 | 1,0551 | 1,0592 | 1,0641 |
| AUD / USD | 0,9230 | 0,9285 | 0,9355 | 0,9410 | 0,9480 |
| CAD / USD | 0,9912 | 0,9971 | 1,0019 | 1,0078 | 1,0126 |
| NZD / USD | 0,7557 | 0,7581 | 0,7613 | 0,7637 | 0,7669 |
| EUR / AUD | 1,6339 | 1,6451 | 1,6512 | 1,6624 | 1,6685 |
| EUR / CAD | 1,5311 | 1,5415 | 1,5479 | 1,5583 | 1,5647 |
| EUR / CHF | 1,6232 | 1,6276 | 1,6307 | 1,6351 | 1,6382 |
| EUR / GBP | 0,7901 | 0,7925 | 0,7946 | 0,7970 | 0,7991 |
| EUR / JPY | 161,14 | 161,86 | 162,40 | 163,12 | 163,66 |
| GBP / CHF | 2,0381 | 2,0452 | 2,0515 | 2,0586 | 2,0649 |
| GBP / JPY | 202,66 | 203,59 | 204,28 | 205,21 | 205,90 |
| Date | Time (GMT) | Economic Indicator | Last |
| 15.05.2008 | 09:00 | EZ GDP flash estimate qq Q1 | 0,40 |
| 15.05.2008 | 09:00 | EZ Infl ex food & energy mm | 0,90 |
| 15.05.2008 | 09:00 | EZ inflation, final yy | 3,60 |
| 15.05.2008 | 12:30 | US jobless contin claims | 3.020 |
| 15.05.2008 | 12:30 | CA Manufacturing sales | 1,6 |
| 15.05.2008 | 13:15 | US Industrial output mm | 0,30 |
| 15.05.2008 | 17:00 | USNAHB housing market index | 20 |
Published on Thu, May 15 2008, 07:51 GMT
Archive
- Japan's Nikkei Stock falls over 5% to a 5-year low under 10,000
Published On Tue, Oct 7 2008, 09:23 GMT - Analysts expect that the BoE cut rates to 4.75%
Published On Mon, Oct 6 2008, 08:51 GMT - The EUR/USD climbs to a session peak of 1.3871 up nearly a full cent from a low of 1.3772
Published On Fri, Oct 3 2008, 07:24 GMT - Commodity prices of New Zealand had their biggest monthly fall in 21 years in September
Published On Thu, Oct 2 2008, 08:28 GMT - The U.S. Senate agrees to vote on a $700 billion bail-out package tonight
Published On Wed, Oct 1 2008, 08:13 GMT
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