Daily FX Report

USD came also under pressure as oil prices clock another

Mon, May 12 2008, 13:05 GMT
by Varengold Bank Research Team

Varengold Wertpapierhandelsbank AG


Good morning from wonderful sunny and warm Hamburg. Today in Germany there is one more time a bank holiday. And it is the last day to have a wonderful view on Hamburg harbour skyline and many wonderful ships from the whole world.


Markets review

USD/JPY rises 0,56 % to 103,40. USD extends gains after rising earlier on commercial demand, which often includes buying by Japanese importers. In an Interview a Trader from a Japanese bank said, Nikkei´s rise into positive territory in the afternoon seems to be to support USD/JPY and other JPY currency pairs. AUD/USD and NZD/USD are both plumbing session lows after commercial data in both countries shows slowdown signs. AUD/USD lost 0,5 % to 0,9374. The NZD/USD reached a four month low and the market hits 0,7638, that was a lost of 0,6 % during the day. EUR/USD was up 0,2 % at 1,5430. USD came also under pressure as oil prices clock another record high near 125 USD, while EUR was supported after ECB´s Trichet vows to stay tough on inflation risks, even as data shows that the euro zone economy is slowing. GBP/USD was down for more than 0,2 % at 1,9505. This level is a two month low and was supported by BoE, who is thinking about rate cuts in the next month.


Technical analysis

GBP/CHF
The GBP/CHF comes to one trading range after another. The market traded one month between its levels 1,9601 and 2,0266. In the middle of March there was a break through the channels support and the market came back to its old range from the beginning of March. It tried to break its new support at 2,08 but it looks like for more side movements.

GBP/CHF


USD/CAD
In USD/CAD there was established a very large trading range about two cents. The market moves from pari up to around 1,0240. Since middle of March there was no new trend direction. At the moment the market is on the way back to pari. There is a chance for another rebound in direction of its support at 1,0237.

USD/CAD

Pivot Points - Daily FX Support and Resistance Levels
Currency Support 2 Support 1 Pivotpoint Resistance 1 Resistance 2
EUR / USD 1,5357 1,5419 1,5454 1,5516 1,5551
USD / JPY 101,76 102,29 103,13 103,66 104,50
GBP / USD 1,9406 1,9469 1,9519 1,9582 1,9632
USD / CHF 1,0309 1,0358 1,0436 1,0485 1,0563
AUD / USD 0,9344 0,9382 0,9419 0,9457 0,9494
CAD / USD 0,9959 1,0006 1,0090 1,0137 1,0221
NZD / USD 0,7593 0,7642 0,7694 0,7743 0,7795
EUR / AUD 1,6210 1,6307 1,6391 1,6488 1,6572
EUR / CAD 1,5390 1,5483 1,5587 1,5680 1,5784
EUR / CHF 1,5994 1,6053 1,6123 1,6182 1,6252
EUR / GBP 0,7839 0,7881 0,7912 0,7954 0,7985
EUR / JPY 157,73 158,45 159,25 159,97 160,77
GBP / CHF 2,0045 2,0179 2,0368 2,0502 2,0691
GBP / JPY 197,78 199,36 201,32 202,90 204,86

Daily Calendar & Key FX Events
Date Time (GMT) Economic Indicator Last
12.05.2008 09:30 GB PPI Core Output mm SA 0,3
12.05.2008 09:30 GB PPI Input prices mm SA 1,80
12.05.2008 09:30GB PPI output prices mm NSA 0,90
12.05.2008 09:30 GB Trade Balance GBP -7,49
12.05.2008 13:30 CANew housing price index 0,3
12.05.2008 19:00 USFederal budget, $ 177,70
12.05.2008 00:01 GB BRC retail sales -1,60

Archive

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