Mon, May 12 2008, 13:05 GMT
by Varengold Bank Research Team
Varengold Wertpapierhandelsbank AG
Good morning from wonderful sunny and warm Hamburg. Today in Germany there is one more time a bank holiday. And it is the last day to have a wonderful view on Hamburg harbour skyline and many wonderful ships from the whole world.
USD/JPY rises 0,56 % to 103,40. USD extends gains after rising earlier on commercial demand, which often includes buying by Japanese importers. In an Interview a Trader from a Japanese bank said, Nikkei´s rise into positive territory in the afternoon seems to be to support USD/JPY and other JPY currency pairs. AUD/USD and NZD/USD are both plumbing session lows after commercial data in both countries shows slowdown signs. AUD/USD lost 0,5 % to 0,9374. The NZD/USD reached a four month low and the market hits 0,7638, that was a lost of 0,6 % during the day. EUR/USD was up 0,2 % at 1,5430. USD came also under pressure as oil prices clock another record high near 125 USD, while EUR was supported after ECB´s Trichet vows to stay tough on inflation risks, even as data shows that the euro zone economy is slowing. GBP/USD was down for more than 0,2 % at 1,9505. This level is a two month low and was supported by BoE, who is thinking about rate cuts in the next month.
GBP/CHF
The GBP/CHF comes to one trading range after another. The market traded one month between its levels 1,9601 and 2,0266. In the middle of March there was a break through the channels support and the market came back to its old range from the beginning of March. It tried to break its new support at 2,08 but it looks like for more side movements.
USD/CAD
In USD/CAD there was established a very large trading range about two cents. The market moves from pari up to around 1,0240. Since middle of March there was no new trend direction. At the moment the market is on the way back to pari. There is a chance for another rebound in direction of its support at 1,0237.
| Currency | Support 2 | Support 1 | Pivotpoint | Resistance 1 | Resistance 2 |
| EUR / USD | 1,5357 | 1,5419 | 1,5454 | 1,5516 | 1,5551 |
| USD / JPY | 101,76 | 102,29 | 103,13 | 103,66 | 104,50 |
| GBP / USD | 1,9406 | 1,9469 | 1,9519 | 1,9582 | 1,9632 |
| USD / CHF | 1,0309 | 1,0358 | 1,0436 | 1,0485 | 1,0563 |
| AUD / USD | 0,9344 | 0,9382 | 0,9419 | 0,9457 | 0,9494 |
| CAD / USD | 0,9959 | 1,0006 | 1,0090 | 1,0137 | 1,0221 |
| NZD / USD | 0,7593 | 0,7642 | 0,7694 | 0,7743 | 0,7795 |
| EUR / AUD | 1,6210 | 1,6307 | 1,6391 | 1,6488 | 1,6572 |
| EUR / CAD | 1,5390 | 1,5483 | 1,5587 | 1,5680 | 1,5784 |
| EUR / CHF | 1,5994 | 1,6053 | 1,6123 | 1,6182 | 1,6252 |
| EUR / GBP | 0,7839 | 0,7881 | 0,7912 | 0,7954 | 0,7985 |
| EUR / JPY | 157,73 | 158,45 | 159,25 | 159,97 | 160,77 |
| GBP / CHF | 2,0045 | 2,0179 | 2,0368 | 2,0502 | 2,0691 |
| GBP / JPY | 197,78 | 199,36 | 201,32 | 202,90 | 204,86 |
| Date | Time (GMT) | Economic Indicator | Last |
| 12.05.2008 | 09:30 | GB PPI Core Output mm SA | 0,3 |
| 12.05.2008 | 09:30 | GB PPI Input prices mm SA | 1,80 |
| 12.05.2008 | 09:30 | GB PPI output prices mm NSA | 0,90 |
| 12.05.2008 | 09:30 | GB Trade Balance GBP | -7,49 |
| 12.05.2008 | 13:30 | CANew housing price index | 0,3 |
| 12.05.2008 | 19:00 | USFederal budget, | $ 177,70 |
| 12.05.2008 | 00:01 | GB BRC retail sales | -1,60 |
Published on Mon, May 12 2008, 13:18 GMT
Varengold Wertpapierhandelsbank AG
| Große Elbstraße 27, 22767 Hamburg
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