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Currency Technical Report

Tue, Nov 4 2008, 11:11 GMT
by George Antonakos

FXGreece


Resistance: 1,2640-50/ 1,2680/ 1,2710/ 1,2770-80/ 1,2810/ 1,2850/ 1,2890-00
Support : 1,2580/ 1,2530/ 1,2450/ 1,2400/ 1,2350/ 1,2330/


1

Comment: Euro moved downwards in the beginning of the week and the area of 1,2520-30 seems to limit the move for the time being. The common reversal candle in the daily chart above middle Bollinger and 38,2% retracement level warned us accurately about the negative sentiment that would follow, as there was no reversal sign or break of important resistance and the decline seemed as the only way.
Important support at 1,2570-00 was breached during Asia Session, while in the beginning of the European Session, we can see stability signs above 1,2600, that could lead to a reaction towards 1,2665-75 or 1,2720-30, where important intraday resistance is found.
Above 1,2730 bulls are likely to dominate and next target will be set at 1,2780-00. The trend could only be reversed after a break of 1,2900. Above these levels, the area of 1,3200-3300 will be back in the game…
According to our basic scenario, moves after 1,2330-40 are considered as waves of the sideways consolidation that is being formed. As a result, a downward move from 1,3295-00 highs, is a downward part of the sideways consolidation after the short term downtrend is completed. (if is not already completed after recent lows, an upward reaction towards previous tops should follow…)

2

STRATEGY
Buy
: We will try buy orders at current levels, adding more at 1,2580, with stop below 1,2500. Our target will be set at 1,2720-30 and 1,2780-00 area.

Sell : Sell opportunities emerge at 1,2770-90 with stops above 1,2840 and target at 1,2640. Sell orders could also be tried at 1,2700-20, with the intention to add more at higher levels…

As always, we keep our positions small, due to high volatility…


Archive

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  1. The details and information included in the provided analysis, are part of research based exclusively on currency charts and are of purely instructional and educational nature. None of the information featuring in the analysis can be considered as an invitation for opening positions in FOREX market or in the market of forward contracts or any securities listed on an organized or unorganized market.
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