FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - TD Securities analyst expect CPI data in Canada to drop by -0.4% (MoM) in June and the annualized data should rise from 1.2% to 1.5% from the sharp rise in commodity prices. The economists also point to flat Core inflation (non-seasonally adjusted), but the adjusted figure should rise by 0.2% (MoM), mostly from subdued prices in transportation and clothing.

“A very strong base-year effect is expected to push core inflation materially higher from 1.8% to 2.4%”, wrote TD Securities analysts. “We anticipate the rate of core inflation will moderate in the coming months and remain below target over the second half of the year”, they added.