WORLD FOREX: Dollar Torn Apart By Higher Stocks, US Jobs Data
Fri, May 8 2009, 20:30 GMT
http://www.djnewswires.com/eu
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By Dan Molinski Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES
NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--The dollar fell hard Friday, hitting a six-week low versus the euro, as higher stock markets, a better-than-expected U.S. jobs report, and broad optimism in financial markets led investors to stop hoarding so much of the U.S. currency.
The euro climbed as high as $1.3629 Friday afternoon, a level unseen since late March, and the dollar fell sharply against the Swiss franc, the Canadian dollar and several other currencies as dollar-selling took off. The U.K. pound reached a four-month high against the dollar of $1.5232.
The U.S. currency's woes began with the release of the monthly nonfarm payrolls report for April, which showed that 539,000 jobs were lost last month, well below expectations for a 610,000 decline. The tamer-than-expected decline then helped U.S. stocks gain, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining almost 165 points, or 1.96%.
All of this suggested to currency investors that the U.S. economy may, indeed, be starting to recover, which pushed many of them out of safe-haven bets on the dollar and into investments involving foreign currencies that potentially offer meatier returns.
Friday afternoon in New York, the euro was at $1.3627 from $1.3383 from late Thursday, while the dollar was at Y98.52 from Y99.04. The euro was at Y134.19 from Y132.58. The U.K. pound was at $1.5225 from $1.5020 late Thursday, while the dollar was at CHF1.1067 from CHF1.1307.
Some analysts say the dollar's sharp losses to end the week may lead to a bounce next week as investors take profits. On the other hand, technical analysts at Citigroup warn that Friday's move could be the beginning of a much bigger move up by the euro against the dollar, especially if the single currency can zoom through certain levels.
"We are finally about to see the impulsive trending move we have believed in," the Citigroup analysts said. "We look for a quick test of the $1.3740 level [for the euro] and an acceleration towards $1.4720 on a break above here."
Less widely traded currencies also joined in to take shots at the dollar.
The Brazilian real hit a fresh seven-month peak against the U.S. dollar Friday, despite Brazilian central bank purchases of dollars at an auction, as foreign investors poured money into local stocks and fixed-income accounts. The dollar closed at BRL2.078, down from Thursday's close of BRL2.108.
Analysts noted that Friday was the first time Brazil's central bank bought dollars in a foreign-exchange auction since September, and took it as somewhat of a sea change in currency markets as dollar-supportive risk aversion ebbs and risk appetite flows.
Canada's dollar closed the week much stronger against the U.S. dollar as its jobs report blew away expectations. The Canadian economy unexpectedly created new jobs for the first time since October, helping send the U.S. dollar to as low as C$1.1502, its lowest against the Canadian currency since November.
-By Dan Molinski, Dow Jones Newswires; 201-938-2245; dan.molinski@dowjones.com
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(END) Dow Jones Newswires
May 08, 2009 16:30 ET (20:30 GMT)
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