Market focus for today is ECB's monetary policy decision and TD Securities analysts suspect the EUR will rise after the event: “The press conference will focus on semantics after the “wide discussion” of a rate cut last month, as well as the modalities of unwinding 3y LTROs, which would leave us with a small bias for rates and EUR higher after the meeting by disappointing the doves”, wrote analyst Alvin Pontoh.
Commerzbank analysts see the EUR/JPY consolidating near term: “While under pinned here (111.43/57) scope will remain for recovery”, wrote analyst Karen Jones. “A close above 116.00 will see the 116.71/50% retracement of the move down from 2009 engage en route to the 117.90 June 2011 high and the 123.33 2011 high itself”, Jones added.






