FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The June-29 rally brought the AUD/USD back to the 200-day moving average, but after holding above it for several days, the pair fell on Friday and closed the week below the line, coupled with the 100-day MA.

On Monday, the pair is extending its newfound weakness, dropped below 1.0200 and approaches the 20-day MA at 1.0124.

“We would allow for a slide back to the 1.0149/50 support line and look for a break below here to trigger a sell off to the 0.9970 recent low”, wrote Commerzbank analyst Karen Jones, believing the market has topped.