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UPDATE: G20 Sets Timetable For Policies To Rebalance Econ

Sat, Nov 7 2009, 18:54 GMT
http://www.djnewswires.com/eu

UPDATE: G20 Sets Timetable For Policies To Rebalance Econ

(Adds quotes, detail)

 
   By Laurence Norman and Paul Hannon 
   Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES 
 


ST. ANDREWS, Scotland -(Dow Jones)- Finance ministers and central bank heads from the Group of 20 leading economies approved a timetable for agreeing polices that will rebalance the global economy at their meetings Friday and Saturday.

But they failed to make progress on the question of how to finance developing country efforts to combat climate change, adding to the challenge of reaching a comprehensive deal when members of the United Nations meet in Copenhagen next month.

In another key development, the U.K. government threw its weight behind calls to charge a levy on financial transactions that would be used to pay for future bank bailouts, although Prime Minister Gordon Brown acknowledged that getting global agreement would be difficult.

As expected, G20 governments agreed to keep their stimulus measures in place, despite signs that the global economy is in recovery.

"Economic and financial conditions have improved following our coordinated response to the crisis," the G20 officials said in a statement. "However, the recovery is uneven and remains dependent on policy support, and high unemployment is a major concern. To restore the global economic and financial system to health, we agree to maintain support for the recovery until it is assured."

The G20 officials agreed to "develop further" their exit strategies for withdrawing stimulus.

"The classic mistake in past crises was to put on the brakes too quickly," U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said. "But we all recognize that confidence in our ability to reduce future deficits and to exit from the extraordinary monetary policy and financial emergency measures is very important to confidence in the sustainability of recovery," he said.

But the finance officials are preparing to move beyond crisis management, which has given the G20 its new role as the body responsible for running the global economy.

At their last meeting in Pittsburgh in September, G20 leaders agreed a framework for peer review that is designed to ensure that national economic policies are consistent with balance in the global economy.

G20 finance officials said they will begin to discuss options for ensuring that the global economy grows in a more sustained and balanced way in January of next year, setting out their national and regional programs and their economic forecasts.

By April, they expect to have completed their mutual assessment of those national and regional policies, with the aim of providing options to G20 leaders when they meet in June. By November, they intend to refine those policy options "and develop more specific policy recommendations."

"The first challenge in using the framework will be the transition from crisis response to stronger, more sustainable and balanced growth," G20 finance officials said.

Agreeing mutually acceptable economic policies will be a difficult task, and will depend on large economies such as the U.S., the euro zone and China accepting and responding to criticism of their economic policies.

Japanese officials were quick to place a limit on the extent of the coordination that the new framework will require, and retain their room for maneuver in steering economic policy.

"I believe...that instead of taking an excessively ambitious approach, we should start out the project as a realistic process," Senior Vice Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda said. "That would be an appropriate approach."

China has come under mounting pressure to allow its yuan to appreciate, to which the International Monetary Fund added, by noting in a report to the G20 that the currency is "significantly undervalued."

Officials say currencies won't be excluded in future discussions on how to rebalance the global economy, and the fate of the yuan may prove an early test of how workable the new framework really is.

G20 officials will hope to make more progress than they have in striking a deal on finance for efforts to combat climate change. Talks barely got off the ground here, with developing economy officials arguing that it wasn't the right venue, and that the issue should be settled at the U.N. conference next month.

The G20 appears unlikely to agree to a levy on financial transactions, even if the U.K.'s conversion adds significantly to its momentum.

"A day-by-day financial transaction tax is not something we're prepared to support," said Geithner, who was supported by his Canadian and Russian counterparts.

The finance ministers of Germany and France reaffirmed their support for a levy.

G20 leaders at the Pittsburgh summit tasked the IMF with preparing a report for options on "how the financial sector could make a fair and substantial contribution toward paying for any burdens associated with government interventions to repair the banking system."

In Brown's view, there needs to be a "better social contract" between banks and the rest of society.

"It cannot be acceptable that the benefits of success are reaped by the few, while the costs of failure are borne by all of us," Brown told finance ministers and central bank heads from the G20. "We need to consider if we need to go further in terms of mitigating costs to the rest of society."

Over the last century, bank failures have become increasingly expensive for taxpayers, and short of war pose the greatest threat to the solvency of governments.

If it could be enforced, a levy on transactions would help build up resources to pay for future crises, the cost of which could threaten to bankrupt some governments.

"A global...tax could make a useful contribution to reducing the risk of future financial crises, and sharing the costs more fairly," said Julian Jessop, an economist at Capital Economics.

-By Laurence Norman and Paul Hannon, Dow Jones Newswires; 44-207-842-9270; laurence.norman@dowjones.com

(Takashi Nakamichi contributed to this story.)

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(END) Dow Jones Newswires

November 07, 2009 13:54 ET (18:54 GMT)


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