Forecasts based on the projections from 10 economists as of Friday, 
Nov 6. NA = not available. E = estimate. R = revised. **** = tentative. 
 
                     --Forecast-- 
Date   Indicators  :Median  :  Oct     Sep     Aug      Jul     Jun      May 
11/12 Unemply Clms :     510:[10/31     512 [10/24     532R ][10/17       531] 
11/12 Trsy Budget  :  -150.0:         -46.6  -111.4   -180.7   -94.3   -189.7 
11/13 Trade Balnce :   -32.0:                 -30.7    -31.9R  -27.5    -26.4 
11/13  Goods Balnce:     NA :                 -41.9    -42.8R  -38.3    -37.2 
11/13   Imports    :        :                 158.9    159.8R  152.4    148.7 
11/13   Exports    :        :                 128.2    128.0R  124.9    122.3 
11/16 Retail Sales :        :         344.7   349.9    342.5R  342.7    339.9 
11/16   % change   :     NA :          -1.5     2.2     -0.1R    0.8      0.5 
11/16  Ex-Auto     :        :         288.5   287.1    284.3R  285.7    283.7 
11/16   % change   :     NA :           0.5     1.0     -0.5R    0.7      0.2 
11/16 Busin Invty  :        :                 1,311    1,331R  1,346    1,365 
11/16   % change   :     NA :                  -1.5     -1.1R   -1.4     -1.2 
11/16   % mfg chg  :        :                  -0.3      0.3R   -1.1     -0.8 
11/17 PPI          :        :         173.4   174.3    172.6   174.1    170.8 
11/17   % change   :     NA :          -0.6     1.7     -0.9     1.8      0.2 
11/17   % 12-mo chg:        :          -4.8    -4.3     -6.8    -4.6     -5.0 
11/17  PPI Core    :        :         170.9   171.2    171.0   171.5R   171.1 
11/17   % change   :     NA :          -0.1     0.2     -0.1     0.5R    -0.1 
11/17 Industl Prod :        :          98.5    97.8     96.6R   95.8     96.2R 
11/17   % change   :     NA :           0.7     1.2      0.9R   -0.4     -1.1 
11/17  Capacty Util:     NA :          70.5    69.6     69.0    68.3     68.5 
11/18 Hsg Starts   :     NA :         0.590   0.587    0.593R  0.590    0.551 
11/18   % change   :        :           0.5    -1.0      0.5R    7.1     15.0 
11/18  Permits     :     NA :         0.573   0.580    0.564   0.570    0.518 
11/18   % change   :        :          -1.2     2.8     -1.1    10.0      4.0 
11/18 CPI          :        :         216.0   215.8    215.4   215.7    213.9 
11/18   % change   :     NA :           0.2     0.4      0.0     0.7      0.1 
11/18   % 12-mo chg:        :          -1.3    -1.5     -2.1    -1.4     -1.3 
11/18  CPI Core    :        :         220.1   219.6    219.4   219.3    219.1 
11/18   % change   :     NA :           0.2     0.1      0.1     0.2      0.1 
11/18 Real Earnings:        :          -0.4    -0.2      0.5    -1.2      0.0 
11/19 LEI          :        :         103.5   102.5    102.1R  101.0    100.2 
11/19   % change   :     NA :           1.0     0.4      1.0R    0.8      1.2 
11/23 Exist Hm Sls :     NA :          5.57    5.09     5.24    4.89     4.72 
11/23   % change   :        :          9.4%   -2.9%     7.2%    3.6%     1.3% 
11/24 GDP Annual % :     NA :[Q3 09     3.5 [Q2 09    -0.7R ][Q1 09     -6.4 ] 
11/24  Final Sales%:     NA :[Q3 09     3.0 [Q2 09     0.9R ][Q1 09     -6.4 ] 
11/24  PCE Defltr %      NA :[Q3 09     3.4 [Q2 09    -0.9R ][Q1 09       0.6] 
11/24  Prc Defltr %:     NA :[Q3 09     0.8 [Q2 09       0.0][Q1 09       1.9] 
11/24  Chnd Wt Prc%:        :[Q3 09     0.8 [Q2 09       0.0][Q1 09       1.9] 
11/24  Corp Profit%:        :[Q2 09   0.9R  [Q1 09       1.3][Q4 08     -2.0 ] 
11/24 Cnsmr Confid :     NA :  47.7    53.4    54.5     47.4    49.3     54.8 
11/24 Pre Stl Imp  :        :          40.9   -59.2     15.9   -16.7    -16.0 
11/25 Personal Inc :        :        11,962  11,962   11,945R 11,934   12,070 
11/25   % change   :     NA :           0.0     0.1      0.1R   -1.1      1.3 
11/25  PCE         :        :        10,167  10,214   10,074R 10,051    9,979 
11/25   % change   :     NA :          -0.5     1.4      0.2R    0.6      0.1 
11/25 Durable Gds  :   615.0:         165.7   164.1    168.5R  160.6    162.7 
11/25   % change   :     NA :           1.0    -2.6      4.9    -1.3      1.3 
11/25  NonDef Captl:        :          53.6    52.4     56.7R   53.0     53.1 
11/25   % change   :        :           2.5    -7.7      7.0    -0.2      9.1 
11/25 S/F Home Sls :     NA :           402     417      413R    399R     371 
11/25   % change   :        :         -3.6%    1.0%     3.5%R   7.5%R    7.5% 
12/01 Constrcn Spd :        :         940.3   933.0    934.2R  945.1    958.3 
12/01   % change   :     NA :           0.8    -0.1     -1.2R   -1.4     -1.3 
12/01 ISM          :     NA :  55.7    52.6    52.9     48.9    44.8     42.8 
12/01   Employment :        :  53.1    46.2    46.4     45.6    40.7     34.3 
12/01   Prices     :        :  65.0    63.5    65.0     55.0    50.0     43.5 
12/03 Prod & Costs%:     NA :[Q3 08     9.8 [Q2 08     6.8R ][Q1 08       0.2] 
12/03   Unit Labor%:     NA :[Q3 08    -5.1 [Q2 08    -6.2R ][Q1 08    -4.9R ] 
12/04 Jobless Rate :     NA :           9.8     9.7      9.4     9.5      9.4 
12/04  Jobs (chg)  :        :  -190    -219    -254     -304    -463     -303 
12/04    Pvt (chg) :        :  -190    -179    -166     -246    -391     -292 
12/04    Manuf(chg):        :   -61     -45     -55      -41    -123     -146 
12/04  Factory hrs :        :   3.2     3.0     3.0      2.9     2.9      2.8 
12/04  Avg Hr % chg:     NA :   0.3     0.1     0.4      0.3     0.1      0.2 
12/04 Factory Ords :        :         356.1   315.6    355.7   350.9    347.6 
12/04   % change   :     NA :          12.8   -11.3      1.4     0.9      1.1 
12/04  Unfill Order:        :         733.3   736.6    739.9   740.7    746.7 
12/04   % change   :        :          -0.4    -0.4     -0.1    -0.8     -0.3 
12/07 Consumr Crdt :        :        2455.8  2470.6   2480.5R 2493.7   2509.2 
12/07   change     :     NA :         -14.8    -9.9    -13.2R  -15.5     -9.2 
12/09 Wholesale Inv:        :         377.7   381.1    386.3   392.5    400.8 
12/09   % change   :     NA :          -0.9    -1.3     -1.6    -2.1     -1.2 
12/09   Invty-Sales:        :          1.18    1.20     1.23    1.25     1.28 
12/16 Current Acct :        :[Q2 09  -$98.8 [Q1 09  -104.5R ][Q4 08   -$154.9] 
01/29 ECI          :     NA :[Q3 09     0.4 [Q2 09       0.4][Q1 09       0.3] 
01/29  ECI Annual  :     NA :[Q3 09     1.5 [Q2 09       1.8][Q1 09       2.1] 
   -By Rodney Christian; Dow Jones Newswires; 202-646-1880; 
    csstat@dowjones.com 
    Related fixed stories: 
     84697    US Economic Indicators: Latest 6 months data 
     80055-57 US Economic Calendar 
 

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