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ECB, about to keep rates on hold ahead of market turmoil hitting Europe

Thu, Oct 2 2008, 08:00 GMT
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FXstreet.com (Barcelona) – ECB’s Monetary Policy Committee is expected to keep rates on hold at 4,25% later today among fears of financial crisis spreading into Europe, which have increased considerably the odds for a rate cut before the end of the year.

Although most analysts share the opinion that the ECB will hold rates today, recent events from the US have changed the whole economical context. Some of the biggest names in Wall Street have failed while the whole financial system is threatening with a meltdown of historical proportions and uncertain consequences.

Inflation, as it has been seen in the latest months seems to have peaked and started to moderate, while, the collapse of big financial institutions plus other unprecedented bank rescues have increased the pessimism over global and Euro Area’s economy, outbalancing the risks to economy to the downside.

The focus will be, thus, on Trichet’s Conference, to see whether the members of the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee consider a rate cut on the next months in order to safeguard Euro Zone’s economy, or they think that the crisis could be tackled down with liquidity injections, discarding further rate cuts.

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