Weekly Market View

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Another gloomy week in Europe
Mon, Aug 4 2008, 09:40 GMT
by Guillermo Alcalá
FXstreet.com
This week we have continued watching signs
of stagflation in The Euro Area, with Consumer Prices growing at 3.3% annual
pace in Germany and the advanced CPI in the Eurozone reaching 4.1% year on
year, the highest level since records are taken. At the same time,
manufacturing activity has failed to grow in the Unitred Kingdom and the Euro
Area for second consecutive month and what is wrth has contracred even faster
than in June, while German manufacturing activity has grown at a pace close to
contraction.
In the United States, indicattors have been
mixed, while GDP seems to have grown much faster than in the first qarter, and
the consumer confidence seems to pick up mildly, although employment continues
declining, unemployment rate has hit tha four year high, and non farm payrolls
have declined for seventh consecutive month.
Nex week we have a handful of indicators
ahead, theattention will be on the monetary policy decisions by the ECB, BoE
and US Federal Reserve.
On Sunday (Aug 3rd) we have the following events to
watch:
- The week’s economic agenda will open
in New Zeland with the 2nd Q labor Cost Index (Previous: 0.7%)
On Monday (Aug 4th) we have the following events to
watch:
- The first indicator of the day will be
Australian House Prices Index for the 2Q
(Previous: 1.1% QoQ; 13.8% YoY)
- In Switzerland, figures for July’s
SVME PMI will be out (Previous: 54.9)
- In the Euro Area, the indicator of
the day will be June’s PPI (Previous: 1.2% MoM; 7.1% YoY)
- In the United States it will be a
busy day, with the Core PCE prices Index (Previous: 0.1% MoM; 2.1% YoY) at the
same time we will know the figuras for the Personal Income (Previous: 1.9%) and
Personal Spending (Previous: 0.8%)
- The US econiomic calendar will end
with June’s Factory Orders (Previous: 0.6%)
On Tuesday (Aug 5th) we have the following events to
watch:
- The day will start in Australia with the
RBA’s interest rate decision (Actual: 7.25%)
- At an indeterminate time, in the UK
July’s Halifax House Prices will be released (Previous: -2% MoM; -6.1% YoY)
- In the Euro Zone the revised Services
PMI will be out (Previous: 49.1%)
- In the UK we will Know the figures
for June’s manufacturing production (Previous: -0.5% MoM; -0.8% YoY) and industrial
production (Previous: -0.5 MoM; -1.6% YoY).
- Euro Zone’s June Retail Sales will
follow (Previous: 1.2% MoM; 0.2% YoY)
- The event of the day will be the
Federal Reserve´s monetary policy decision (Actual: 2%)
- Uk’s July Nationwide Consumer
Confidence will seal off the day’s agenda (Previous: 63).
On Wednesday (Aug 6th) we have the following events to
watch:
- The daily economic agenda will start
with Japan’s ptreliminary leading index for June (Previous: 92.9)
- In the UK the focus will be set on
July’s BRC shop prices index (Previous: 2.5%)
- The most important event for the Euro
Zone will be German June factory orders (Previous: -0.9% MoM; -2% YoY)
- In Canada, the Ivey PMI for July
(Previous: 69.6)
- Finally, New Zeland’s second
quarter’s Unempoyment rate (Previous: 3.6%).
On Thursday (Aug 7th) we have the following events to
watch:
- Australia will open Thursday’s
economic agenda, with July’s unemployment rate (Previous: 4.2%)
- In Germany we will know the figures
of June’s Trade Balance (Previous: 14.4B)
- Also in Germany june’s Industrial Production
will be published (Previous: -2.4% MoM; 0.8% YoY)
- Later on The Bank of England will
release its monetary policy decision (Actual: 5%)
- The ECB will publish its monetary
policy decision somewhat later (Actual: 4.25%)
- Afterwards Triche will give a
conference explaining the monetary policy decision.
- In the US we will know june’s pending
home sales (Previous: -4.7%)
- The last event of the day will be US
June’s connsumer credit (Previous: 7.78B)
On Friday (Aug 8th) we have the following events to
watch:
- Swiss unemployment rate for July will
open the day’s agenda (Previous: 2.3% s.a.)
- In the american timeframe we will
know Canadian July’s unemployment rate
(Previous: 6.2%)
Published on
Mon, Aug 4 2008, 09:40 GMT
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