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Weekly Analysis

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Weekly Analysis

Tue, Aug 5 2008, 07:35 GMT
by Benny Menashe

Finotec Group Inc.


This week we will have various economic data releases that will affect the market. On Tuesday the 5th we will have the Australian Cash Rate and RBA Statement, From the UK we will have the Halifax HPI, Manufacturing Production and service PMI. From the U.S there will be the ISM Non-Manufacturing Composite, FOMC Statement and Federal Funds Rates. On Wednesday the 6th we will have the Australian Home Loans, Canadian Ivey PMI and New zelands Employment Change and Unemployment rate. On Thursday the 7th we will have the Australian Employment Change and Unemployment Rate, the UK’s MPC Rate Statement and Official Bank Rate, the Euro’s Minimum Bid Rate and ECB Press Conference, the Canadian Building Permits and U.S Pending Home sales. On Friday the 8th we will have the Canadian Employment Change and Unemployment Rate.

In other news the dollar fell from a one-month high against the euro as stocks declined amid concern losses in U.S. credit markets may widen. ``The dollar is very fragile for now,'' said Hidetoshi Yanagihara, senior currency trader at Mizuho Corporate Bank in New York. ``Stocks are falling and there's some bad news from the financial sector.'' U.S. consumer spending rose 0.6 percent in June following a 0.8 percent increase in May, the Commerce Department said in Washington today. The British currency declined to its lowest level versus the euro in almost a week after an index based on a survey of purchasing managers at building companies dropped in July to its lowest level since the series began in April 1997. Construction accounts for 6 percent of the economy. ``The data show that the economy is very weak and it means that interest rates are not going to stay at this level forever,'' said Hans-Guenter Redeker, the London-based global head of currency at BNP Paribas SA, France's biggest bank.


Today's Economic Events

Time Event Currency Period Previous Forecast Significance Actual
14:00Factory Orders m/mUSDJun0.60%0.70%21.70%
12:30Core PCE Price Index m/mUSDJun0.20%0.20%20.30%
12:30Personal Spending m/mUSDJun0.80%0.50%20.60%
12:30Personal incomeUSDJun1.80%-0.10%10.10%
09:00PPI m/mEURJul1.20%0.80%10.90%
08:30Sentix IndexEURJul-9.3-101-15.3
08:30Construction PMIGBPJul38.837.6236.7
07:30PMI -SVMECHFJul54.953.4254.1
01:30Household ConfidenceAUDJul0.40%-1.10%1-0.30%


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