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Turkey Weekly Macro Comment

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Turning "Suspected Democrats" into Martyrs of Democracy

Wed, Mar 19 2008, 09:18 GMT
by Yapi Kredi Bank Economic Research Department

Yapi Kredi Bank


  • • The latest move by Chief Prosecutor of the Supreme Court of Appeals is yet another move to discredit the AKP government with the intended final outcome of shutting it down.
  • • When one looks at the composition of the members of the Constitutional Court, whose 8 members of its total of 11 were appointed by the staunch secular ex-President Sezer, a shut down decision seems likely, at least mathematically

  • • We may have had party closings in the past, but that was in a much different country with repercussions hardly similar to what we may have to face if the Prosecutor’s appeal is entertained by the Constitutional Court

  • • My gut feeling is that the indictment will fall and AKP will escape unscathed. Central Government budget for the month of February were announced last week and results are extremely encouraging

  • • Current account deficit in January materialized as USD 3.9 billion. 12-month rolling FDI financing of the current account deficit is steadily coming down, but corporate borrowing remained firm to most analysts’ surprise.

  • • We expect selling pressure in ISE-100 and in the fixed income market as well. And for a change, we Turks are not Americans as of Friday evening anymore.


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Legal disclaimer and risk disclosure

This document is prepared by the Economic Research Department of Yapi Kredi Bank A.S by using official data. No responsibility is assumed for the accuracy of the information given in the document although utmost care has been taken in their compilation and processing.


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